Report
Valens Research

HON - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 11 13

Honeywell International Inc. (HON:USA) currently trades above historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 23.0x Uniform P/E, implying bullish expectations for the firm. However, management has concerns about meeting their growth targets, free cash flow and EPS results, and their Intelligrated and Transnorm businesses

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain growth of long-range orders and backlog. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to drive growth in the Middle East, India, and Latin America, and may have concerns about their Transnorm acquisition. They may also be exaggerating their optimism about the growth of their Intelligrated business and their confidence that they acquired it at an appealing price, and may be concerned about potential sustained elevated restructuring cost levels through 2020. Furthermore, they may be exaggerating their confidence in their Aerospace segment outlook, and in their ability to maintain strong Connected Aircraft margins. In addition, they may have concerns about their Aerospace supply chain, and their ability to sustain growth in their Defense and Space business. They may also lack confidence in their ability to sustain growth of free cash flow and adjusted EPS, and to drive growth across their Performance Materials and Technologies segment. Finally, they may lack confidence in their ability to meet their organic growth expectations, and to improve their supply chain
Underlying
Honeywell International Inc.

Honeywell International is a technology and manufacturing company. The company has four segments: Aerospace, which supplies products, software and services for aircrafts; Honeywell Building Technologies, which provides products, software, solutions and technologies including building control and optimization, energy management, access control, video surveillance, fire products, and remote patient monitoring systems; Performance Materials and Technologies, which develops and manufactures chemicals and materials, process technologies and automation solutions; and Safety and Productivity Solutions, which provides products and software that improve productivity, workplace safety and asset performance.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch