Report
Valens Research

ICE - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 07 20

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE:USA) currently trades above recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 28.2x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bullish expectations for the firm, and management is confident about delivery price contracts, revenue performance, and their automation technology.

Specifically, management is confident their model of organizing commodities on futures exchanges enables the market to control pricing at the point of production, while their delivery price contracts minimize risks to producers. Also, they are confident their first quarter results were the best in company history and additional Bakkht expenses will be more than offset by higher revenues. Furthermore, they are confident their leading environmental complex positions them to help customers navigate global energy markets and their automated document recognition and extraction technology compares the income and credit qualifications for loan origination.
Underlying
Intercontinental Exchange Inc.

Intercontinental Exchange is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a global operator of regulated exchanges, clearing houses and listings venues, and a provider of data services for commodity, financial, fixed income and equity markets. The company operates regulated marketplaces for listing, trading and clearing an array of derivatives contracts and securities across primary asset classes, including metals, equities, bonds and currencies, and also provides mortgage and technology services. In addition, the company provides data services to support the trading, investment, risk management and connectivity needs of customers. The company has two segments: Trading and Clearing and Data and Listings.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch