Report
Valens Research

IPG - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 05 04

The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. (IPG:USA) currently trades below historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 12.9x Uniform P/E, implying bearish expectations for the firm. However, management is confident about their EBITA margin and their compelling product offerings

Specifically, management is confident their adjusted EBITA margin increased by 50bps year-over-year, that their incentive compensation reflects the performance of outperforming units, and that their various capabilities, expertise, and Kinesso combine to make a compelling offering
Underlying
Interpublic Group of Companies Inc.

Interpublic Group of Companies is an advertising and marketing services company. The company's segment include: Integrated Agency Networks (IAN) and Constituency Management Group (CMG). Within IAN, the company's agencies provide an array of communications and marketing services, each providing a range of solutions for its clients. In addition, the company's domestic integrated agencies provide a range of advertising, marketing communications services and/or marketing services and partner with its operating divisions as needed. CMG provides clients with services, including public relations, meeting and event production, sports and entertainment marketing, corporate and brand identity, and marketing consulting.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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