Report
Valens Research

JCP - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 10 26

J.C. Penney Corporation (JCP:USA) currently trades at historical lows relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Assets, with a 0.8x Uniform P/B. At these levels, the market has fairly muted expectations for the firm, while management has concerns about their inventory management, ability to increase margins, and to adapt to changing consumer trends

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to enhance their Women's Apparel assortment, and may lack confidence in their ability to reduce their excess inventory throughout H2 2018. Additionally, they may have concerns about the decline of overall store traffic across the industry in June, and may lack confidence in their ability to leverage their investments in customer insights to become more responsive to trends. Furthermore, they may have concerns about their slow-moving goods and excess inventory, and about their ability to increase margins. Finally, they may lack confidence in their ability to sustain strong performance in their Home Office Land Joint Venture, and may be exaggerating the improvements they are seeing in their home and legacy businesses
Underlying
Old COPPER Company. Inc.

J. C. Penney Company is a holding company whose principal operating subsidiary is J. C. Penney Corporation, Inc. The company's business consists of selling merchandise and services to consumers through its department stores and its website at jcpenney.com. The company's department stores and website serve the same type of customers, its website provides the same mix of merchandise as its store assortment along with other extended categories that are not provided in store, and its department stores accept returns from sales made in stores and via its website. The company sells family apparel and footwear, accessories, jewelry, beauty products through Sephora inside JCPenney, and home furnishings.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch