Report
Valens Research

JW.A - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 02 13

John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (JW.A:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 16.7x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management appears concerned about EBITDA margins, Education Services revenue mix, and the strength of their partner network.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain revenue growth and improve their EBITDA margin. Moreover, they may be concerned about their Education Services revenue mix, the sustainability of new society partnerships, and potential headwinds from FX rates. Finally, they may be exaggerating the strength of their customer and partner network and the consistency of client feedback.
Underlying
John Wiley & Sons Inc. Class A

John Wiley & Sons is a global research and learning company. Co. has three segments: Research segment, which provides scientific, technical, medical, and scholarly journals, as well as related content and services to libraries and individual researchers, among others; Publishing, which provides scientific, professional, and education books and related content in print and digital formats, test preparation services and course workflow tools, to libraries, corporations, students, professionals, and researchers; and Solutions, which provides online program management services for higher education institutions and learning, development, and assessment services for businesses and professionals.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

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