Report
Valens Research

JNJ - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 06 28

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ:USA) currently trades near recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 17.0x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, but management is excited about their debt structure, and is confident in their ability to sustain earnings growth, new anti-depression treatments, and long-term investment.

Specifically, management generated an excitement marker when discussing their lower projected interest expense. Additionally, management is confident in their ability to continue their 35-year streak of operational earnings growth, and in the FDA's breakthrough designation for their depression treatment. Moreover, they are confident about their commitment to provide affordable and quality healthcare for humanity, and in their focus on long-term business investment.
Underlying
Johnson & Johnson

Johnson & Johnson is a holding company engaged in the research and development, manufacture and sale of a range of products in the health care field. The company has three business segments: Consumer, which includes a range of products focused on personal healthcare used in the beauty, over-the-counter pharmaceutical, baby care, oral care, women's health and wound care markets; Pharmaceutical, which is focused on six therapeutic areas: immunology, infectious diseases, neuroscience, oncology, cardiovascular and metabolism and pulmonary hypertension; and Medical Devices, which includes products used in the orthopaedic, surgery, interventional solutions, and eye health fields.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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Valens Research

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