Report
Valens Research

LEN - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 02 18

Lennar Corporation (LEN:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 10.3x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management appears concerned about their cash flows, housing production pace, and cost and pricing pressures

Specifically, management may be overstating the strength of their cash flows, financial position, and the macro housing outlook for 2021-2022. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to meet housing market demand, continue matching the pace of sales growth with production and delivery, and adjust incentives to align with demand dynamics. Furthermore, they may be concerned about labor shortages, pricing pressures, and the progress of their technology initiatives. In addition, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain increases in like-for-like pricing and mitigate construction cost pressures. Finally, they may lack confidence in their ability to focus on generating long-term returns for shareholders and improve customer experience
Underlying
Lennar Corporation Class A

Lennar is a homebuilder in the United States, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. The company's homebuilding operations include the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes as well as the purchase, development and sale of residential land directly and through unconsolidated entities in which it has investments. The company operates under the Lennar brand name. The company creates and participates in joint ventures that acquire and develop land for its homebuilding operations, for sale to third parties or for use in the ventures' own homebuilding operations.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch