Report
Valens Research

LYFT - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 04 15

Lyft, Inc. (LYFT:USA) currently trades well above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Assets, with a 21.1x Uniform P/B. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to materially expand, and inflect positively, improving from -117% in 2018 to 32% in 2023.

In order to justify current valuations and meet market expectations, the firm must successfully expand its market share, fundamentally change auto buying trends, and become a leader in automated vehicle technology, while also overcoming margin and competitive pressures.
Underlying
Lyft

Lyft operates a peer-to-peer marketplace for on-demand ridesharing in the United States and Canada. The company provides Ridesharing Marketplace, which facilitates lead generation, billing and settlement, support, and related activities to enable drivers to provide their transportation services to riders. The company also offers a network of shared bikes and scooters in various cities to address the needs of riders for shorter routes; Express Drive program, a flexible car rentals program which connects drivers who need access to a car with third-party rental car companies; and concierge for organizations to manage the transportation needs of their customers and employees.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
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  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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Valens Research

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