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Valens Research

MAS - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2022 03 04

Masco Corporation (MAS) currently trades below corporate and historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with an 11.5x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to compress to 25%, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth.

However, analysts expect Uniform ROA to expand to 47% in 2023, accompanied by 4% Uniform asset growth.

If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $127, representing significant potential equity upside for the firm. That said, analyst expectations are driven by pandemic-related home improvement tailwinds, which are likely not sustainable in the long run.

Moreover, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about margins, their paint business, and growth.
Underlying
Masco Corporation

Masco designs, manufactures and distributes home improvement and building products. The company's Plumbing Products include faucets, showerheads, handheld showers, valves, bath hardware and accessories, bathing units, shower bases and enclosures and toilets. This segment also includes brass, copper and composite plumbing system components and other non-decorative plumbing products. The company's Decorative Architectural Products include cabinet and door hardware, functional hardware, wall plates, hook and hook rail products, and picture hanging accessories. This segment also includes decorative indoor and outdoor lighting fixtures, ceiling fans, landscape lighting and LED lighting systems.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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