DOOR - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 12 11
Masonite International Corporation (DOOR:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 17.4x Uniform P/E, implying bearish expectations for the firm. Meanwhile, management may be concerned about their operating leverage, plant openings, and acquisition value.Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability sustain their current operating leverage and effectively invest in automation initiatives. Furthermore, they may be concerned about the timing of their Tijuana plant opening, and they may be downplaying concerns about declines in base volumes. Finally, they may be concerned about the value of their recent doorframe business acquisition and their Graham and Maiman acquisition.
Masonite International designs, manufactures and distributes interior and exterior doors for the new construction and repair, renovation and remodeling sectors of the residential and non-residential building construction markets. Co. manufactures a line of interior doors, including residential molded, flush, stile and rail, louver and commercial and architectural doors; door components for internal use and sale to other door manufacturers; and exterior residential steel, fiberglass and wood doors and entry systems. Co.'s portfolio of brands include Masonite®, Marshfield®, Premdor®, Mohawk®, Megantic®, Algoma®, Birchwood Best®, Lemieux®, Door-Stop™, Harring Doors™ and National Hickman™ .
In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:
- GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
- Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
- Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
- Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available
We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.
- Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
- Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
- Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
- The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming
The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.
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