Report
Valens Research

MTCH - Valens Credit Report - 2023 08 18

Cash bond and CDS markets are now accurately stating MTCH's credit risk, with a YTW of 6.536% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 6.156%, and a CDS of 197bps relative to an Intrinsic CDS of 184bps. As such, the tightening of this spread makes this holding less compelling from a credit investor's point of view. Meanwhile, Moody's is materially overstating MTCH's fundamental credit risk with its speculative Ba2 credit rating, five notches below Valens' IG3- (A3) credit rating.
Underlying
Match Group Inc.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

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