Report
Valens Research

MTOR - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 09 16

Meritor, Inc. (MTOR:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS based (Uniform) earnings, with a 27.1x Uniform P/E. Even at these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management may be concerned about cash flow, plant efficiency, and the performance of their industrial business

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to generate higher free cash flow, avoid transference of enterprise value to debt, and operate their manufacturing plants at pre-COVID-19 efficiency levels. Furthermore, they may be exaggerating their ability to respond to rapid changes in volume, and may be downplaying concerns about their industrial business
Underlying
Meritor Inc.

Meritor is a global supplier of a range of integrated systems, modules and components to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket for the commercial vehicle, transportation and industrial sectors. The company serves commercial truck, trailer, military, bus and coach, construction, and other industrial OEMs and certain aftermarkets. The company's segments are: Commercial Truck, which supplies drivetrain systems and components, including axles, drivelines and braking and suspension systems; and Aftermarket, Industrial and Trailer, which supplies axles, brakes, drivelines, suspension parts and other replacement parts to commercial vehicle and industrial aftermarket customers.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
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  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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Valens Research

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