Report
Valens Research

MGM - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 08 13

MGM Resorts International (MGM:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 25.1x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management has concerns about Strip fundamentals, RevPAR, and demand in Vegas and Mandalay

Specifically, management may have concerns about short-term booking rate pressure causing Strip revenues and margins to fall. Additionally, they may lack confidence in the sustainability of their increased Borgata slot revenue, and in their ability to achieve their RevPAR guidance. Moreover, they may be concerned about softness in the convention business affecting the Las Vegas market, and about the slow recovery of their Mandalay location following the shooting last year. Additionally, they may lack confidence in their ability to leverage tech investment to make their cash flows less capital intensive, and in the outlook for their MGM Springfield location
Underlying
MGM Resorts International

MGM Resorts International is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company owns and operates casino, hotel, and entertainment resorts across the United States and in Macau. The company's segments include: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, which consists of casino resorts such as Bellagio, MGM Grand Las Vegas, Mandalay Bay, The Mirage, Luxor, New York-New York, Excalibur, and Park MGM; Regional Operations, which consists of casino resorts such as MGM Grand Detroit, Beau Rivage, Gold Strike Tunica, Borgata, MGM National Harbor, MGM Springfield, Empire City, and MGM Northfield Park; and MGM China, which owns and operates casino resorts and the related gaming subconcession and land concessions.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch