Report
Valens Research

MU - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 07 26

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU:USA) is currently trading well above recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 24.0x Uniform P/E. However, even at these levels, markets are pricing in bearish expectations for the firm, and management has concerns about revenue, margins, and demand.

Specifically, management is confident that their Q3 revenue was impacted by their inability to ship to Huawei, and they are also confident on the shipment quantities declined compared to the previous quarter. Moreover, they appear concerned about sustained revenue headwinds in their Compute and Networking business unit, and may lack confidence in their ability to meet Q4 revenue and operating margin guidance. Additionally, they may be exaggerating expectations for future demand improvement, and may be concerned about the sustainability of recent growth rates in their SSD shipments.
Underlying
Micron Technology Inc.

Micron Technology provides memory and storage solutions. The company's portfolio of memory and storage technologies include Dynamic Random Access Memory, Not And, 3D XPoint? memory, and Not Or. The company's segments are: Compute and Networking Business, which includes memory products sold into client, cloud server, enterprise, graphics, and networking markets; Mobile Business, which includes memory products sold into smartphone and other mobile-device markets; Storage Business, which includes Solid-State Drives and component-level solutions sold into enterprise and cloud, client, and consumer storage markets; and Embedded Business, which includes memory and storage products.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch