Report
Valens Research

MSCI - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 01 15

 MSCI Inc. (MSCI:USA) currently trades near historical highs relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings with a 32.2x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, and management is excited about growth, and confident in their investment opportunities and subscription retention rates
 Specifically, management generated an excitement marker when saying they remain focused on driving growth. In addition, they are confident they had revenue growth across all product segments and will keep investing in high-return opportunities. Moreover, they are confident asset owners and managers comprise two-thirds of their subscription run rate and that they feel good about their cancellation rates. Also, management is confident they provide clients with mission-critical products
Underlying
MSCI Inc. Class A

MSCI is a provider of decision support tools and services for the global investment community. The company's segments are: Index, in which Clients use the company's indexes in various areas of the investment process, including index-linked product creation; Analytics, which provides risk management, performance attribution and portfolio management content, applications and services; Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG), which helps institutional investors understand how ESG considerations can impact the long-term risk and reward of their portfolio and individual security-level investments; and Real Estate, which includes research, reporting, market data and benchmarking offerings.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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Valens Research

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