Report
Valens Research

MTD - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2022 04 06

Mettler-Toledo International (MTD) currently trades above corporate and historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 36.3x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to expand to a peak of 51%, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth.

Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to only improve to 32% in 2023, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth.

If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $804, representing significant potential equity downside for the firm

Moreover, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about their products and initiatives.
Underlying
Mettler-Toledo International Inc.

Mettler-Toledo International is a supplier of precision instruments and services. The company manufactures weighing instruments for use in laboratory, industrial, packaging, logistics, and food retailing applications. The company also manufactures several related analytical instruments and provides automated chemistry solutions used in drug and chemical compound discovery and development. In addition, the company manufactures metal detection and other end-of-line inspection systems used in production and packaging and provides solutions for use in certain process analytics applications. The company has five segments: United States Operations, Swiss Operations, Western European Operations, Chinese Operations, and Other.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
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Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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