Report
Valens Research

NAV - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 02 07

 Navistar International Corporation (NAV:USA) currently trades at a 10-year high relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Assets, with a 2.5x Uniform P/B, implying very bullish expectations for the firm. Moreover, management is confident about industry conditions and cash flows

 Specifically, management is confident in the latest freight transportation services index reaching an all-time high, and in their OnCommand Connection Marketplace giving them access to segments of the markets where they are underrepresented. Furthermore, they are confident in their progress towards launching big-bore diesel powertrains into their products by 2021, and in their expectation that the firm will consume cash in the first quarter of 2018 then rebuild the cash balance over the remainder of the year
Underlying
Navistar International Corporation

Navistar International is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a manufacturer of International? brand commercial trucks, proprietary diesel engines, and IC Bus? (IC) brand school and commercial buses. The company's segments include: Truck, which manufactures and distributes trucks and buses along with production of proprietary engines; Parts, which provides proprietary products to support the International commercial truck, IC Bus, proprietary engine lines, and export parts business; and Global Operations, which consists of the operations of its subsidiary, International Industria Automotiva da America do Sul Ltda that manufactures and distributes mid-range diesel engines.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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