Report
Valens Research

NFLX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 08 13

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX:USA) currently trades above historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 47.0x Uniform P/E, implying bullish expectations for the firm. However, management has concerns about their self-produced content and subscriber growth.

Specifically, management may be concerned about their ability to continue growing their total net adds, and they appear concerned about recent slowdowns in subscriber growth. Furthermore, they may be concerned about their ability to maximize the value of the subscription model, and they may be concerned about the sustainability of their self-produced content-driven competitive advantage.
Underlying
Netflix Inc.

Netflix is engaged in subscription streaming entertainment service including TV series, documentaries and feature films across a variety of genres and languages. Members can watch as much as they want, anytime, anywhere, on any internet-connected screen. Members can play, pause and resume watching, without commercials. Additionally, several members in the United States subscribe to the company's DVD-by-mail service. The company improves its streaming content with a focus on a programming mix of content. The company's members can download a selection of titles for offline viewing. The company operates its business as a global operating segment.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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Valens Research

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