Report
Valens Research

NWSA - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 10 16

News Corporation (NWSA:USA) currently trades near corporate averages relative to Uniform Earnings, with a 21.3x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management may be concerned about revenue, subscriber growth, and their international operations.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to simplify the structure of the company, and they may be concerned about meeting subscribers' expectations on their digital platform. Furthermore, they may be concerned about the sustainability of recent Dow Jones revenue growth and about their ability to grow the Dow Jones brand internationally. Finally, they may lack confidence in their ability to sustain digital subscriber growth for the Sunday Times, and they may be concerned about the value the REA group provides to agents.
Underlying
News Corporation Class A

News is a media and information services company. The company comprises businesses across a range of media, including news and information services, subscription video services in Australia, book publishing and digital real estate services, that are distributed under brands, including The Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones, The Australian, Herald Sun, The Sun, The Times, HarperCollins Publishers, Foxtel, FOX SPORTS Australia, realestate.com.au, realtor.com?, talkSPORT and others. The company distributes its content to consumers across platforms consisting of print and television, as well as digital platforms including websites, applications for mobile devices and tablets, social media and e-book devices.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

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