Report
Valens Research

NKE - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 04 29

NIKE, Inc. (NKE:USA) currently trades near historical highs relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 31.5x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may be concerned about supply chain delays, customer engagement, and digital investment opportunities

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to respond to transportation delays and port congestion, enable a digitally-focused supply chain, and introduce the Jordan brand to a broader set of consumers. Management may also be exaggerating their leadership position in athlete sponsorship, and they may lack confidence in their ability to offer a seamless digital and physical experience for customers. In addition, they may lack confidence in their ability to increase customer engagement, leverage marketing opportunities, and capitalize on data science and machine learning investments. Moreover, management may have concerns about the sustainability of differentiated retail demand, their investments in women's apparel innovation, and continued store closure
Underlying
NIKE Inc. Class B

NIKE is engaged in the design, development and marketing and selling of athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, accessories and services. The company focuses its NIKE Brand product offerings in Running, NIKE Basketball, the Jordan Brand, Football (Soccer), Training and Sportswear categories. The company markets products designed for kids, as well as for other athletic and recreational uses such as American football, baseball, cricket, golf, lacrosse, tennis, walking, and other outdoor activities. The company has license agreements that permit unaffiliated parties to manufacture and sell, using the company-owned trademarks, certain apparel, digital devices and applications and other equipment designed for sports activities.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch