Report
Valens Research

NBL - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 06 29

Noble Energy, Inc. (NBL:USA) currently trades at a historical low relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) assets, with a 0.7x Uniform P/B. At these levels, the market has expectations for profitability to remain muted, but management may have concerns about their cost structure reset, completion spending, and WTI prices

Specifically, management may have concerns about their cost structure reset, their suspension of completion dollar spending in 2020, and lower average volumes in Q4 2020. In addition, they may lack confidence in their ability to adapt to a $40 WTI price environment going forward and reduce well costs, and they may be overstating their focus on efficiency and execution
Underlying
Noble Energy Inc.

Noble Energy is an independent energy company, engaged in crude oil and natural gas exploration and production. The company's operating areas include: U.S. onshore, primarily the DJ Basin, Delaware Basin and Eagle Ford Shale; U.S. offshore Gulf of Mexico; Eastern Mediterranean; and West Africa. The company's Midstream segment develops, owns, operates and acquires domestic midstream infrastructure assets, or invests in other midstream entities, with existing focus areas being the DJ and Delaware Basins. The company's activities include geophysical and geological evaluation; analysis of commercial, regulatory and political risks; and exploratory and development drilling leading to production, where appropriate.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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