Report
Valens Research

OHI - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 10 20

Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. (OHI:USA) currently trades near corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 21.4x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management may be concerned about cash and liquidity levels, occupancy rates, and their investment portfolio

Specifically, management may be concerned about their current cash and liquidity levels, the increase in average operator expenses, and the limitations to deals they can do during the pandemic. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to maintain increased revenue in the next quarters, mitigate the decline of occupancy rates, and sustain the overall senior housing investment portfolio
Underlying
Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.

Omega Healthcare Investors is a real estate investment trust. The company has one reportable segment consisting of investments in healthcare-related real estate properties located in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company's main business is to provide financing and capital to the long-term healthcare industry with a particular focus on skilled nursing facilities, and assisted living facilities, and to a lesser extent, independent living facilities, and rehabilitation and acute care facilities and medical office buildings. The company's main portfolio consists of long-term leases and mortgage agreements.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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