Report
Valens Research

PAYC - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 10 02

Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC:USA) currently trades above recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 51.3x Uniform P/E. However, even at these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management may be concerned about meeting their revenue guidance, growth, and the sustainability of recent tax rates.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to meet their revised
full-year guidance, and they may be concerned about the sustainability of their enterprise-level sales momentum. Furthermore, they may lack confidence in their ability to expand their footprint near New Orleans and to sustain new business wins. Finally, they may be concerned about the sustainability of recent tax rates, and may lack confidence in their ability to meet their Q3 revenue guidance.
Underlying
Paycom Software Inc.

Paycom Software is a provider of cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solution delivered as Software-as- a-Service. The company provides functionality and data analytics that businesses need to manage the complete employment lifecycle, from recruitment to retirement. The company's solution requires virtually no customization and is based on a core system of record maintained in a single database for various HCM functions, including talent acquisition, time and labor management, payroll, talent management and human resources management applications. The company's solution was developed in-house and is based on a single platform, there is no need to integrate, update or access various databases.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
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  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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Valens Research

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