Report
Valens Research

PXD - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 11 15

Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) currently trades at a premium to Uniform assets, with a 2.5x Uniform P/B (V/A'), which is higher than historical averages.

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to improve, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth.

Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to rise to 22% in 2022, accompanied by 4% Uniform asset growth. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $380, representing 105% equity upside for the firm.

That said, as an oil and gas company exposed to commodity cycles, the firm will likely not be able to sustain analyst-projected peak profitability levels indefinitely.

Moreover, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about their dividend, oil fields, and acquisitions.
Underlying
Pioneer Natural Resources Company

Pioneer Natural Resources is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in oil and gas exploration and production. The company explores for, develops and produces oil, Natural Gas Liquids and gas within the United States, with operations in the Permian Basin in West Texas. The company's portfolio of resources are located in the Spraberry/Wolfcamp oil field.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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