Report
Valens Research

QGEN - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 03 08

QIAGEN N.V (QGEN:USA) currently trades near recent highs relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 23.7x Uniform P/E. However, even at these levels, markets have bearish expectations, and management appears concerned about the capabilities of QuantiFERON-TB, new product launch sales targets, and a muted influenza season in Europe.

Specifically, management may be exaggerating the capabilities and cost-effectiveness of QuantiFERON-TB as well as cost management success, and may be concerned about their ability to sustain CER growth, particularly in Japan and China. Additionally, they may lack confidence in their ability to meet product launch sales targets, and may be concerned about their investment in digital PCR, their distribution agreement with NeuMoDX, and the progress of QIAstat validations. Finally, they may be concerned about their gastrointestinal panel launch, and the impact of a muted European influenza season.
Underlying
QIAGEN NV

Qiagen is provider of Sample to Insight solutions to transform biological materials into valuable molecular insights. Co.'s sample technologies process DNA, RNA and proteins from blood, tissue and other materials. Assay technologies make these biomolecules visible and ready for analysis. Bioinformatics software interprets data. Automation solutions unite these together in molecular testing workflows. Co. provides these workflows to four classes: Molecular Diagnostics (human healthcare), Applied Testing (forensics, veterinary testing and food safety), Pharma (pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies) and Academia (life sciences research). Co. markets its products in more than 130 countries.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch