Report
Valens Research

RTN - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 12 20

Raytheon Company (RTN:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 14.4x Uniform P/E, suggesting bearish expectations for the firm, and management has concerns about securing new federal contracts, performance of their IIS business, and their margins

Specifically, management may have concerns about their strategy to continuously innovate, and may be exaggerating the positive customer feedback they have received on their Lynx infantry fighting vehicle. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to secure additional multi-year federal contracts, particularly the contract to provide the mission payload for the Overhead Persistent Infrared program for the U.S. Air Force, and may lack confidence in their expectation for space to develop into an important market in the next several years. Additionally, they may have concerns about their operations in counter-hypersonics, and about their ability to reduce costs. They may also lack confidence in their ability to sustain outperformance in their IIS business, particularly their net program improvements, and to meet the high-end of their revised sales and EPS guidance. Lastly, they may be concerned about their ability to deliver strong margins in FY 2019
Underlying
Raytheon Company

Raytheon, together with its subsidiaries, is a technology company, focused on defense and other government markets. The company has five segments: Integrated Defense Systems, which is engaged in integrated air and missile defense; large land- and sea-based radar solutions; command, control, communications, computers, cyber and intelligence solutions; Intelligence, Information and Services, which provides technical services to intelligence, defense, federal and commercial customers; Missile Systems, which produces missile and combat systems; Space and Airborne Systems, which develops integrated sensor and communication systems for missions; and Forcepoint, which develops cybersecurity products.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch