Report
Valens Research

SBH - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 04 03

Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH:USA) currently trades below recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 14.0x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management has concerns about gross margin levels, their loyalty program, hair product distribution rights, and cost optimization programs.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain gross margin levels, continue SG&A expense reductions, and sustain same store sales growth. In addition, they may be exaggerating the strength of their loyalty database, success of their new loyalty program, and customer excitement for their Pravana product launch. Furthermore, they may be concerned about their ability to locate a new distribution center in Texas, the potential of new store concepts and updates in Las Vegas, and their recent acquisition of exclusive, regional distribution rights for select hair products. Finally, they may be exaggerating the potential of their cost optimization programs in Europe and Mexico and their owned brand product quality.
Underlying
Sally Beauty Holdings Inc.

Sally Beauty Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is an international retailer and distributor of beauty supplies with operations in North America, South America and Europe. The company's business segments are: Sally Beauty Supply (SBS), which is an open-line retailer of beauty supplies; and Beauty Systems Group (BSG), which is a beauty supply distributor. SBS stores and websites carry beauty supplies, featuring beauty products across product categories including hair color and care, and skin and nail care. The company features beauty products in its BSG stores across product categories including hair color and care, skin and nail care, styling tools and other beauty items.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch