Report
Valens Research

SAFM - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 11 14

Sanderson Farms, Inc. (SAFM:USA) currently trades near all-time highs relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Assets, with a 1.6x Uniform P/B. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management appears concerned about demand, production, and automation.

Specifically, management is confident they are seeing softness in dark meat pricing due to a 30-day closure in Iraq, and they may be concerned about the sustainability of demand for wings. Furthermore, they may be exaggerating the impact the reduced hog herd in China will have on demand, and they may lack confidence in their ability to increase their production. Finally, they may be exaggerating the extent to which automation is benefiting their margins, and they may lack confidence in their ability to continue reducing their trainee costs.
Underlying
Sanderson Farms Inc.

Sanderson Farms is a poultry processing company engaged in the production, processing, marketing and distribution of frozen chicken products, including processed and minimally prepared chicken. The company sells ice-packed, chill-packed, bulk-packed and frozen chicken, in whole, cut-up and boneless form to retailers, distributors, and casual dining operators, and to customers who resell frozen chicken into export markets. The company operates through: Sanderson Farms, Inc. (Production Division), which is engaged in the production of chickens to the broiler stage; and Sanderson Farms, Inc. (Processing Division), which is engaged in the processing, sale and distribution of chicken products.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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