Report
Valens Research

SERV - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 07 21

ServiceMaster Global Holdings, Inc. (SERV:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 33.9x Uniform P/E. At these levels, markets have bullish expectations for the firm, but management appears concerned about various initiatives, cancel rates, and costs

Specifically, management may be exaggerating the success of the Terminix brand in Q1 before the coronavirus disruption, as well as their outlook for disinfection service demand. Also, management may be exaggerating the continued interest of potential suitors related to their brand sale, and they may be downplaying concerns about the suspension of their summer sales program and about cancel rates in early Q2. Moreover, they may be downplaying concerns about their Residential Pest Control business, and they might have concerns about headwinds to the fumigation market in California. Finally, they may be concerned about their ability to maintain lower G&A costs and they might have concerns about headwinds related to labor costs
Underlying
Terminix Global Holdings Inc

ServiceMaster Global Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides services to residential and commercial customers in the termite, pest control, cleaning and restoration markets, operating through a network of company-owned locations and franchise and license agreements. The company's portfolio of brands includes Terminix (residential termite and pest control), Terminix Commercial (commercial termite and pest control), Copesan (commercial national accounts pest management), ServiceMaster Restore (restoration), ServiceMaster Clean (commercial cleaning), Merry Maids (residential cleaning), Furniture Medic (cabinet and furniture repair) and AmeriSpec (home inspections).

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch