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Valens Research

LUV - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 07 09

Southwest Airlines (LUV:USA) currently trades at historical lows relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 16.5x Uniform P/E, implying bearish expectations for the firm. Moreover, management is concerned about profitability, demand, and maintenance procedures

Specifically, management appears to be concerned about the sustainability of growth in EPS as well as the sustainability of shareholder returns. Moreover, they might be concerned about their maintenance procedures, particularly as related to the recent engine explosion. Additionally, they might be downplaying concerns about RASM performance, and exaggerating expectations for demand trends
Underlying
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO.

Southwest Airlines operates Southwest Airlines, a passenger airline that provides scheduled air transportation in the United States and near-international markets. The company has Boeing 737 aircraft in its fleet and serves destinations in various states, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and other near-international countries such as Mexico, Jamaica, The Bahamas, Aruba, Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, Belize, Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and Turks and Caicos. The company principally provides point-to-point service, which allows for direct nonstop routing. The company also provides a suite of digital platforms to support Customers' needs prior to and during the course of their travel.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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