Report
Valens Research

TECD - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 10 08

Tech Data Corporation (TECD:USA) currently trades below historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 10.0x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, but management is confident about their cloud business, gross profit, and margins.

Specifically, management is confident when saying that they are pleased with the financial performance of their cloud business, and they are confident that gross profit increased 9% in the quarter. Furthermore, they are confident that their Asia Pacific operating margin improved 42bps and that they are on track to meet their long-term 50-50 capital strategy.
Underlying
Tech Data Corporation

Tech Data is an information technology distribution and solutions companies. The company's customers include resellers, direct marketers, retailers, corporate resellers and managed service providers. The company groups its offerings into two primary solutions portfolios: Endpoint Solutions, which primarily includes personal computer systems, mobile phones and accessories, printers, peripherals, supplies, endpoint technology software and consumer electronics; and Advanced Solutions, which primarily includes data center technologies such as storage, networking, servers, other technology software and converged and hyper-converged infrastructure.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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