Report
Valens Research

THRM - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 02 27

 Gentherm Incorporated (THRM:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 11.4x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has very bearish expectations for the firm, and given management's confidence about their wheel heaters solutions, as well as the firm's recent performance, this suggests a longer-term buying opportunity. That said, management's concerns about some of their other solutions and demand imply near-term equity upside may be limited

 Specifically, management may lack confidence in the sustainability of adjusted EBITDA improvement year-over-year and may also lack confidence in their assertion that integrated intelligent solutions will lead to increased value content. Additionally, they may have concerns about their ability to provide a unique solution to the Japanese normothermia market through the 100-volt Norm-O-Temp and may be exaggerating the interest they are seeing from OEM customers in car of the future technologies. Lastly, they may have concerns about the lower price on vehicles that switched to heat/vent systems from active cooling seat technology. As such, near-term equity upside may be limited, though at current valuations, upside is likely over the long-run
Underlying
Gentherm Incorporated

Gentherm designs, develops, and manufactures thermal management technologies. The company's products provide solutions for automotive passenger comfort, battery thermal management, remote power generation, patient temperature management, and other consumer and industrial temperature control needs. The company has two segments: Automotive, which includes climate comfort systems, automotive cable systems, battery thermal management, and automotive electronic and software systems; and Industrial, which includes the company's remote power generation systems business, its patient temperature management systems business, its environmental testing equipment business and its research and product development division.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch