Report
Valens Research

TJX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 11 11

The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX:USA) currently trades above historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 43.4x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may have concerns about their inventory flow, operating cash flow, and packaway opportunities

Specifically, management is confident inventory was not flowing optimally when they reopened. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to maintain Q2 operating cash flow, mitigate sales volume declines, and match inventory with pent-up demand. Furthermore, management may have concerns about the impact of traditional retailers pausing new orders, and they may be exaggerating the available packaway opportunities
Underlying
TJX Companies Inc

TJX Companies is an off-price apparel and home fashions retailer. The company's segments comprised of: Marmaxx, which sells family apparel (including footwear and accessories), home fashions (including home basics, decorative accessories and giftware) and other merchandise; HomeGoods, which provides a range of home fashions, including home fashions, including furniture, rugs, lighting, soft home, decorative accessories, tabletop and cookware as well as pet, kids and gourmet food departments; TJX Canada, which operates the Winners, HomeSense and Marshalls chains in Canada; and TJX International, which operates the T.K. Maxx and HomeSense chains in Europe and the T.K. Maxx chain in Australia.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
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Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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Valens Research

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