Report
Valens Research

FP FRA - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 05 16

TOTAL S.A. (FP:FRA) currently trades near historical lows relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Assets, with a 0.9x Uniform P/B. At these levels, the market has somewhat bullish expectations, pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to remain at recent highs of 3%-4% through 2022

Specifically, the market appears to expect the current oil supply glut to dissipate over the coming years as higher-cost producers are forced out of the market, allowing FP to take advantage of increasing global demand for oil going forward. Additionally, the market seems to be pricing in expectations for the firm to be successful with their Maersk Oil acquisition, which made them the second-largest operator in the North Sea and strengthens their position in certain growth areas such as Algeria and the Gulf of Mexico
Underlying
Total SE

Total is an international integrated oil and gas company also active in solar and biomass energy sources. Co. engages all aspects of the petroleum industry, including Upstream operations (oil and gas exploration, development and production, and LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas)) and Downstream operations (refining, petrochemicals, specialty chemicals, marketing and marketing and trading and shipping of crude oil and petroleum products). In addition, Co. is engaged in the coal mining and power generation sectors. Co.'s worldwide operations are conducted through three business segments: Upstream, Refining & Chemicals, and Marketing & Services.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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