Report
Valens Research

UDR - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 01 27

UDR, Inc. (UDR:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 99.8x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may have concerns about their EPS guidance, margin advantage, and staffing levels

Specifically, may lack confidence in their ability to meet their full-year EPS guidance of $2.04 per share, sustain their peer margin advantages, and optimize their staffing levels. Finally, they may have concerns about the impact of legislative changes on their business and the fiscal balance of cities
Underlying
UDR Inc.

UDR is a real estate investment trust that owns, operates, acquires, renovates, develops, redevelops, disposes of, and manages multifamily apartment communities generally located in markets located throughout the United States. In addition, the company has an ownership interest in completed or to-be-completed apartment homes through unconsolidated joint ventures or partnerships, including apartment homes owned by entities in which the company hold preferred equity investments. The company's operating partnership, United Dominion Realty, L.P., has a consolidated real estate portfolio that includes communities located in several markets.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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