Report
Valens Research

UTX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 12 10

United Technologies Corporation (UTX:USA) currently trades near recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 17.9x Uniform P/E. At these levels the market has fairly bullish expectations for the firm, but management has concerns about trade discussions between the United States and China, cost headwinds, and deleveraging their balance sheet

Specifically, management may be concerned about the impact of political tensions between the United States and China, and about macroeconomic trends in Korea. Furthermore, they may be concerned about foreign exchange headwinds driven primarily by the euro and Chinese yuan, and may lack confidence in their ability to offset increased labor and material costs. Additionally, they may lack confidence in their ability to deleverage their balance sheet over the next two to three years, and to meet their free cash flow targets
Underlying
Raytheon Technologies Corporation

United Technologies provides technology products and services to the building systems and aerospace industries. The company has four segments: Otis, which designs, manufactures, sells and installs passenger and freight elevators; Carrier, which provides heating, ventilating, air conditioning refrigeration, fire, security and building automation products; Pratt & Whitney, which supplies aircraft engines for the commercial, military, business jet and general aviation market; and Collins Aerospace Systems, which provides aerospace products and aftermarket service solutions for aircraft manufacturers, airlines, regional, business and general aviation markets, military, space and undersea operations.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
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  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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