Report
Valens Research

UTX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 11 12

United Technologies Corporation (UTX:USA) currently trades near recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 21.9x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may be concerned about EPS, sales, and Carrier market share.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain recent EPS growth and meet their revised margin guidance. Furthermore, they may be concerned about the sustainability of Collins performance and about the impact future trends in defense spending will have on their profitability. In addition, they may be concerned about the creditworthiness of Otis and Carrier and about the impact of a stronger dollar will have on global sales. Finally, they may lack confidence in their ability to effectively invest in digitalizing their business.
Underlying
Raytheon Technologies Corporation

United Technologies provides technology products and services to the building systems and aerospace industries. The company has four segments: Otis, which designs, manufactures, sells and installs passenger and freight elevators; Carrier, which provides heating, ventilating, air conditioning refrigeration, fire, security and building automation products; Pratt & Whitney, which supplies aircraft engines for the commercial, military, business jet and general aviation market; and Collins Aerospace Systems, which provides aerospace products and aftermarket service solutions for aircraft manufacturers, airlines, regional, business and general aviation markets, military, space and undersea operations.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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Valens Research

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