Report
Valens Research

VTR - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 02 21

Ventas, Inc. (VTR:USA) currently trades well above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 44.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, and management is confident about their investments, Ardent, and long-term senior housing business fundamentals.

Specifically, management is confident they will continue to invest in their future and that they can overcome recent underperformance with integrity, positivity, and skill. In addition, they are confident there are many aspects of the enterprise portfolio that are performing well, particularly Ardent, and that they remain positive on the fundamental long-term growth in the senior housing business.
Underlying
Ventas Inc.

Ventas is a real estate investment trust with a portfolio of seniors housing, research and innovation, and healthcare properties located throughout the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom. The company has three segments: triple-net leased properties, which invests in and owns seniors housing and healthcare properties and leases those properties to healthcare operating companies under triple-net or absolute-net leases; senior living operations, which invests in seniors housing communities and engages independent operators to manage those communities; and office operations, which acquires, owns, develops, leases and manages medical office buildings and research and innovation centers.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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Valens Research

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