Report
Valens Research

VRSK - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 07 09

Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 33.7x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for profitability to remain stable, but management may have concerns about COVID-sensitive revenues, software investment opportunities, and pandemic-driven cost benefits.

Specifically, may have concerns about the impact of contract transitions on revenue, declines in COVID-sensitive revenue, and the sustainability of returns on their investment portfolio. In addition, they may be concerned about the persistence of pandemic-driven cost benefits, the sustainability of Lens platform usage, and their software development investments. Furthermore, they may be overstating the potential of Lens Power and their Verisk Pay launch.
Underlying
Verisk Analytics Inc

Verisk Analytics is a data analytics provider serving customers in insurance, energy and specialized markets, and financial services. The company has three segments: Insurance, which provides underwriting and ratings and claims insurance data for the United States property and casualty insurance industry; Energy and Specialized Markets, which provides research and consulting data analytics for the global energy, chemicals, and metals and mining industries; and Financial Services, which provides benchmarking, decisioning algorithms, business intelligence, and customized analytic services to financial institutions, payment networks and processors, alternative lenders, regulators and merchants.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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Valens Research

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