Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 48.09 For Business Accounts Only

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Buy Energy & Financials; EM Improving

We are beginning to see rotations back into risk-on areas of the market, a bullish sign for global equities. This only adds to our constructive outlook; we are bullish and we expect higher prices in the weeks and months ahead.

Bullish Developments. Our weight-of-the-evidence approach has led us to a constructive outlook for quite some time, supported by an absence of breakdowns on major global indexes, a weakening US dollar, bullish commodity prices, narrowing high yield spreads, and cyclicals outperforming relative to defensives -- to name a few supporting facts. Now, we are moving back toward an outright bullish outlook considering recent risk-on rotations into Energy, Financials, and EM equities -- add exposure.
Actionable Themes: Buy Energy & Financials. Global Energy and Financial stocks display bullish price and relative strength reversals following 1-2 months of underperformance. We see this as an ideal buying opportunity given these Sectors remain longer-term leadership -- remain overweight/add exposure... see pages 3-13.
Underlyings
3i Group plc

3i Group is an investment company with two complementary businesses: Private Equity, which invests in companies with an Enterprise Value of Euro100.0million to Euro500.0 at acquisition in its primary investment markets of northern Europe and North America; as well as Infrastructure, which invests in economic infrastructure and greenfield projects in developed economies, principally in Europe. Co.'s private equity business is focused on three sectors: consumer, industrial and business and technology services. Co. invests primarily in northern Europe and North America.

Alianza Minerals Ltd

Alianza Minerals is a mineral company engaged in the acquisition and exploration of mineral properties. Co. is at the exploration stage on all of its properties and substantial additional work and expenditures will be required in order to determine if any economic deposits occur on Co.'s properties. Mineral exploration is highly risky, and most exploration properties do not contain any economic deposits of minerals. Co. does not have any commercially producing mines or sites, nor is Co. in the process of developing any commercial mines or sites.

Bank of Ireland Group Plc

Bank of Ireland Group is a financial services company. Co. provides a range of banking and financial services such as current account and deposit services, overdrafts, term loans, mortgages, business and corporate lending, international asset financing, leasing, instalment credit, invoice discounting, foreign exchange facilities, interest and exchange rate hedging instruments, life assurance, pension and protection products. Co. operates a distribution network of 246 branches and over 1,200 ATMs in the Republic of Ireland and access to 11,500 branches and over 2,500 ATMs in the U.K. Co.'s trading divisions include: Retail Ireland, Bank of Ireland Life, Retail U.K. and Corporate and Treasury.

Bank of Montreal

Bank of Montreal is a financial services organization. Co. provides a range of retail banking, wealth management and investment banking products and services. Co. serves its clients through three operating groups: Personal and Commercial Banking, which provides financial services to personal and commercial customers; Private Client Group, which provides wealth management products and services to individuals and select institutional segments; and BMO Capital Markets, which provides clients financial and capital markets services to corporate, institutional and government clients.

BlackRock Income Trust Inc.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Canadian Natural Resources is an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration, development and production company. Co.'s exploration and production operations are focused in North America, largely in Western Canada; the U.K. portion of the North Sea; and CA'te d'Ivoire, Gabon, and South Africa in Offshore Africa. Co. had total proved reserves of 5.71 billion barrels of oil equivalent. Co.'s gross proved crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil), synthetic crude oil and natural gas liquids reserves totaled 4.70 billion barrels and its gross proved natural gas reserves totaled 6,106.00 billion cubic feet.

China Power International Development Ltd

China Power International Development is a power generation comp-any, involved in the development, construction, owning, operating, and managing power plants in the People's Republic of China (the PRC). Co. is principally engaged in investment, development, operation and management of coal-fired power, hydropower and wind power plants in Mainland China. Co.'s power generation businesses are mainly located in the power grid regions of Eastern, Southern, Central and Northern China. Co.'s segments include Generation and sales of coal-fired electricity, and Generation and sales of hydropower electricity.

Energoinstal SA

Energoinstal SA is a Poland-based manufacturer of power boilers. Its offer includes power steam boilers, high-duty power water boilers, steam biofuel boilers, boilers and auxiliary devices for waste incinerating plants, boiler houses, supporting structures of boilers and industrial objects, oil and gas burners, gas and oil pressure reducing-metering stations, finned tubes, environmental protection installations and equipment, central heating systems, processing heat installation, water and sewage systems, ventilation and air-conditioning systems, thermal insulations, energetic pipelines and anticorrosion painting, as well as installations made of precious steels for the food industry. The Company also offers assembly and maintenance services. Energoinstal SA is a parent company of the Capital Group that comprises Energoinstal Sp z o o, Instal Bielsko Sp z o o, Instal Development Sp z o o, among others. On November 15, 2013, WAM Sp z o o acquired 61.80% stake in the Company.

Imperial Oil Limited

Imperial Oil is an integrated oil company. Co. is active in all phases of the petroleum industry in Canada, including the exploration for, and production and sale of, crude oil and natural gas. In Canada, Co. is a producer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum refiner and a marketer of petroleum products. Co. is also a producer of petrochemicals. As of Dec 31 2017, Co. had 1.57 billion barrels of oil-equivalent basis of net proved reserves, which consisted of 44.0 million barrels of liquids, 641.00 billion cubic feet of natural gas, 473.0 million barrels of synthetic oil, and 946.0 million barrels of bitumen.

NVP
NVP

Nvp SpA. Nvp SpA is an Italy-based company that provides a wide range of services to the video production industry, mainly to television (TV) networks and TV rights owners. Its offering is related to content and broadcasting. The Company designs and develops TV event, particularly related to sport, entertainment, concerts and spectacles. Its customers include TV broadcastings, content online platforms, production houses and sport clubs, among others. It operates locally, in Europe and internationally with a focus on Saudi Arabia, Morocco, the United States, Thailand, Malesia and Qatar.

Onex Corporation

Onex is a holding company engaged in operating autonomous businesses. Co. operates in seven industry segments: electronics manufacturing services, aerostructures, healthcare, financial services, customer support services, metal services and other businesses which consist of theatre exhibition, aircraft and aftermarket, commercial vehicles, injection molding, building products, personal care products, mid-cap opportunities, real estate and credit securities.

Paragon AG

Paragon develops, produces and sells electrical, electronic, and electromechanical components, devices, and systems for the automotive industry. Co.'s segments include Sensors, which develops and markets solutions for air quality within the vehicle cabin; Acoustics, which develops and markets products designed to ensure the transmission of speech from its point of origination to its destination; Cockpit, which develops and markets products for the cockpit; Electromobility, which develops and markets battery packs for utility vehicles and buses; and Body Works Kinematics, which develops and markets technical solutions for the moving parts of the automobile body, both exterior and interior.

Suncor Energy Inc.

Suncor Energy is an energy company. Co.'s operations include oil sands development and upgrading, onshore and offshore oil and gas production, petroleum refining, and product marketing under the Petro-Canada brand. Co.'s segments include: oil sands, which develop and produce synthetic crude oil and related products through the recovery and upgrading of bitumen; exploration and production, which include offshore activity, and the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids; and refining and marketing, which include the refining of crude oil products, and the distribution and marketing of these and other purchased products, as well as a lubricants plant.

TC Energy Corporation

TransCanada is an energy company. Co. operates three business segments: natural gas pipeline, which transports natural gas across Canada, the U.S. and Mexico, and has regulated natural gas storage facilities in Michigan with a total capacity of 250 billion cubic ft.; liquids pipelines, which consists of wholly-owned and operated crude oil pipeline systems that connects Alberta and U.S. crude oil supplies to U.S. refining markets, as well as connecting U.S. crude oil supplies from the Cushing, OK hub to refining markets in the U.S Gulf Coast; and energy, which includes a portfolio of power generation assets in Canada and the U.S., and unregulated natural gas storage assets in Alberta.

Toronto-Dominion Bank

Toronto Dominion Bank provides financial services. Co.'s segments comprised of: Canadian Retail, which include Canadian personal and commercial banking businesses, Canadian credit cards, TD Auto Finance Canada and Canadian wealth and insurance businesses; US Retail, which includes the US personal and commercial banking businesses, US credit cards, TD Auto Finance US, US wealth business and the Bank's investment its subsidiary, TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation; and Wholesale Banking, which provides a range of capital markets, investment banking, and corporate banking products and services. As of Oct 31 2017, Co. had total assets of C$1.28 trillion and total deposits of C$832.82 billion.

Westpac Banking Corporation

Westpac Banking is a banking organization with branches, affiliates and controlled entities throughout Australia, New Zealand, Asia and in the Pacific region. Co. provides a range of banking and financial services in these markets, including consumer, business and institutional banking and wealth management services. Co. is engaged in the provision of financial services including lending, deposit taking, payments services, investment portfolio management and advice, superannuation and funds management, insurance services, leasing finance, general finance, interest rate risk management and foreign exchange services. As of Sep 30 2017, Co. had total assets of A$851,875,000,000.

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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