Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 43.21 For Business Accounts Only

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Underlyings
A. O. Smith Corporation

A.O. Smith is comprised of North America and Rest of World reporting segments. The company's Rest of World segment is primarily comprised of China, Europe and India. Both segments manufacture and market lines of residential and commercial gas and electric water heaters, boilers, tanks and water treatment products. Both segments primarily manufacture and market in their respective regions of the world. The company's Rest of World segment also manufactures and markets in-home air purification products in China. The company serves residential and commercial end markets in North America with a range of products including water heaters, boilers, water treatment products, and other.

ABM Industries Incorporated

ABM Industries is a provider of integrated facility solutions. The company's segments include: Business and Industry, which encompasses janitorial, facilities engineering, and parking services for commercial real estate properties, sports and entertainment venues, and hospitals and non-acute healthcare facilities; Aviation, which supports airlines and airports with services ranging from parking and janitorial to passenger assistance, catering logistics, air cabin maintenance, and transportation; and Education, which delivers janitorial, custodial, landscaping and grounds, facilities engineering, and parking services for public school districts, private schools, colleges, and universities.

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.

Allison Transmission Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company manufactures fully-automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles and medium- and heavy-tactical U.S. defense vehicles. The company's transmissions are in used various applications, including on-highway trucks (distribution, refuse, construction, fire and emergency), buses (mainly school, transit and electric hybrid-transit), motorhomes, off-highway vehicles and equipment (mainly energy, mining and construction) and defense vehicles (wheeled and tracked). The company also sells replacement parts, support equipment and other products to service the installed base of vehicles utilizing its transmissions.

Apogee Enterprises Inc.

Apogee Enterprises is involved in the design and development of glass and metal products and services. The company has four segments: Architectural Framing Systems, which designs, engineers, fabricates and finishes the aluminum frames used in customized window, curtainwall, storefront and entrance systems comprising the outside skin of buildings; Architectural Glass, which fabricates coated glass used in customized window and wall systems; Architectural Services, which provides building glass and curtainwall installation services; and Large-Scale Optical Technologies, which manufactures coated glass and acrylic products for framing and display applications.

Automatic Data Processing Inc.

Automatic Data Processing is a provider of cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solutions to employers, providing solutions to businesses of various sizes. The company's two reportable business segments are Employer Services, which provides a range of technology-based HCM solutions, including payroll services, benefits administration, talent management, HR management, workforce management, compliance services, insurance services and retirement services; and Professional Employer Organization, which provides clients with employment administration outsourcing solutions through a relationship in which employees who work for a client are co-employed by the company and the client.

BIRKENSTOCK HOLDING PLC

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation Class A

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding is a holding company. The company provides management and technology consulting, analytics, engineering, digital solutions, mission operations, and cyber knowledge to U.S. and international governments, corporations, and non-profit organizations. The company's services are: Consulting, which focuses on solving client problems and developing mission-oriented solutions; Analytics, which includes decision analytics, automation, and data science solutions; Digital Solutions, which develops, designs, and implements solutions; Engineering, which delivers engineering services and solutions; and Cyber, which focuses on active prevention, detection, and cost effectiveness.

Casella Waste Systems Inc. Class A

Casella Waste Systems is a solid waste services company. The company provides resource management and services to residential, commercial, municipal and industrial customers, primarily in the areas of solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling and organics services. The company provides integrated solid waste services in Vermont, New Hampshire, New York, Massachusetts, Maine and Pennsylvania. The company manages its solid waste operations on a geographic basis through its regional operating segments, the Eastern and Western regions, each of which provides a range of solid waste services, and its recycling and commodity brokerage operations through its Recycling segment.

Cheniere Energy Inc.

Cheniere Energy is an energy company engaged in liquefied natural gas (LNG)-related businesses. The company is focusing its development in the following LNG terminal projects, which is under construction: the Sabine Pass LNG terminal located in Cameron Parish, LA; and the Corpus Christi LNG terminal near Corpus Christi, TX. The company's subsidiary, Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. is developing, constructing and operating natural gas liquefaction facilities at the Sabine Pass LNG terminal. The company is developing and constructing a natural gas liquefaction and export facility at the Corpus Christi LNG terminal and operates a natural gas supply pipeline. The company is also in various stages of developing other projects.

Clorox Company

Clorox is a manufacturer and marketer of consumer products. The company sells its products through mass retailers, grocery outlets, warehouse clubs, dollar stores, home hardware centers, drug, pet and military stores, third-party and owned e-commerce channels, and distributors. The company has four reportable segments: Cleaning, which consists of laundry, home care and other products; Household, which consists of charcoal, bags, wraps and containers, cat litter, and digestive health products; Lifestyle, which consists of food products, water-filtration systems and filters, natural personal care products, and dietary supplements; and International, which consists of products sold outside the United States.

Colgate-Palmolive Company

Colgate-Palmolive manufactures and markets a variety of products in the United States and around the world. The company has two product segments: Oral, Personal and Home Care; and Pet Nutrition. Oral, Personal and Home Care products include toothpaste, toothbrushes and mouthwash, bar and liquid hand soaps, shower gels, shampoos, conditioners, deodorants and antiperspirants, skin care products, dishwashing detergents, fabric conditioners, household cleaners, and other similar items. Pet Nutrition products include specialty pet nutrition products manufactured and marketed by Hill's Pet Nutrition.

CONOCOPHILLIPS

ConocoPhillips is an exploration and production company engaged in exploring for, producing, transporting and marketing crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas and natural gas liquids. The company's segments include: Alaska, which operates in Alaska; Lower 48, which operates in the United States and the Gulf of Mexico; Canada, which operates in Alberta and British Columbia; Europe and North Africa, which consists of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya; Asia Pacific and Middle East, which operates in China, Indonesia, Malaysia, Australia, Qatar, and Timor-Leste; and Other International, which operates in Colombia, Chile and Argentina.

CORPAY INC.

Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Deckers Outdoor is engaged in designing, marketing and distributing footwear, apparel and accessories. The company markets its products primarily under five brands. The UGG brand is comprised of a line of footwear, apparel and accessories for women, men and children. The HOKA brand is a line of footwear and apparel. The Teva brand's product line includes sandals, shoes, and boots. Sanuk brand is comprised of casual shoe and sandal categories. Other brands consist of Koolaburra by UGG brand, a casual footwear fashion using sheepskin and other plush materials. The company's retail stores are primarily UGG brand concept and UGG brand outlet stores.

Euronet Worldwide Inc.

Euronet Worldwide is an electronic payments provider. The company provides payment and transaction processing and distribution solutions to financial institutions, retailers, service providers and individual consumers. The company operates three segments: Electronic Financial Transaction Processing, which processes transactions for a network of automated teller machines and point-of-sale terminals; epay, which provides distribution and processing of prepaid mobile airtime and other electronic content and payment processing services for various prepaid products, cards and services; and Money Transfer, which provides consumer-to-consumer and global account-to-account money transfer services.

Exponent Inc.

Exponent is a science and engineering consulting firm. The company serves clients in chemical, construction, consumer products, energy, food, beverage and nutrition, government, life sciences, insurance, manufacturing, technology, industrial equipment, transportation and other sectors of the economy. The company's service offerings are provided on a project-by-project basis. The company has two segments: Engineering and Other Scientific, which is a service group providing technical consulting in different practices primarily in engineering; and Environmental and Health, which provides a range of consulting services relating to environmental hazards and risks and the effect on both human health and the environment.

F5 Networks Inc.

F5 Networks is a provider of multi-cloud application services, which enable its customers to develop, deploy, operate, secure, and govern applications in any architecture, from on-premises to the public cloud. The company's application services are available as cloud-based, software-as-a-service, and software-only solutions supported for multi-cloud environments. In connection with its solutions, the company provides a range of services, including consulting, training, installation, maintenance, and other technical support services. The company's products and solutions include hardware platforms, software and software-as-a-service platforms, cloud-based managed services, and service provider solutions.

FactSet Research Systems Inc.

FactSet Research Systems is a provider of integrated financial information, analytical applications and other services for the investment and corporate communities. The company's data and technology solutions can be implemented across the investment portfolio lifecycle or as standalone components. The company is focused on its three segments: United States, Europe, and Asia Pacific. The company delivers insight and information through the workflow solutions of Research, Analytics and Trading, Content and Technology Solutions, and Wealth. The company provides insights on global market trends and knowledge on companies and industries, as well as capabilities to monitor portfolio risk and performance and to execute trades.

Fastenal Company

Fastenal is engaged in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies. The company is a distributor of fasteners and related industrial and construction supplies. This includes threaded fasteners, bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and related washers, as well as miscellaneous supplies and hardware, such as pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire rope, strut, rivets, and related accessories. The company's fastener product line is primarily sold under the Fastenal product name.

GFL Environmental Inc

GFL Environmental Holdings Inc. GFL Environmental Inc is a diversified environmental services company in North America. The Company's diversified offerings include non-hazardous solid waste management, infrastructure & soil remediation and liquid waste management services. It operates through three segments: Solid Waste, which includes hauling, landfill, transfers and material recovery facilities; Infrastructure and Soil Remediation, and Liquid Waste. Its solid waste management business line includes the collection, transportation, transfer, recycling and disposal of non-hazardous solid waste for municipal, residential, and commercial and industrial customers. Its infrastructure & soil remediation business line provides remediation of contaminated soils, as well as complementary services, including civil, demolition, excavation and shoring services. In Its liquid waste management business line, it collects, processes, recycles and/or disposes a range of liquid wastes from commercial and industrial customers.

GiaiPhong Motor JSC

GiaiPhong Motor JSC. Giaiphong Motor Joint Stock Company is a Vietnam-based company operating in the automobile industry. The Company's major undertakings include the assembly, maintenance and commerce of light trucks, heavy duty trucks, minivans and motorcycles. Besides, the Company is engaged in the replacement and reparation of motor vehicle parts and accessories, such as headlamps, rear-view mirrors, windshields, brakes and fuel tanks, among others.

HighPeak Energy Inc (A)

HNI Corporation

HNI provides office furniture and hearth products. The company's Office Furniture segment designs, manufactures, and markets a range of workplace furnishings. The company's portfolio includes panel-based and freestanding furniture systems and complementary products such as seating, storage, tables, and architectural products. The company provides office panel system products, benching, freestanding tables, storage, and social collaborative products. The company's Hearth Products segment manufactures and markets prefabricated fireplaces, hearth stoves, and related products. The company's line of hearth products includes a range of gas, wood, electric, and pellet fueled fireplaces, inserts, stoves, facings, and accessories.

Illinois Tool Works Inc.

Illinois Tool Works manufactures a range of industrial products and equipment. Automotive OEM segment produces components and fasteners for automotive-related applications. Food Equipment segment is engaged in commercial food equipment. Test and Measurement and Electronics segment produces equipment for testing and measuring of materials and structures. Welding segment produces arc welding equipment, consumables and accessories. Polymers and Fluids segment produces adhesives, sealants, lubrication and cutting fluids for auto aftermarket maintenance. Construction Products segment supplies fastening systems and solutions. Specialty Products segment is focused on patent protection.

Kimberly-Clark Corporation

Kimberly-Clark is principally engaged in the manufacturing and marketing of a range of products primarily made from natural or synthetic fibers using technologies in fibers, nonwovens and absorbency. The company is organized into three operating segments: Personal Care, which provides solutions and products such as disposable diapers, training and youth pants, swimpants, baby wipes, feminine and incontinence care products, and other related products; Consumer Tissue, which provides facial and bathroom tissue, paper towels, napkins and related products; and K-C Professional, which provides a range of solutions and supporting products such as wipers, tissue, towels, apparel, soaps and sanitizers.

KNIFE RIVER CORPORATION

LaZBoy Incorporated

La-Z-Boy manufactures, markets, imports, exports, distributes and retails upholstery furniture products. In addition, the company imports, distributes and retails accessories and casegoods (wood) furniture products. The company's reportable operating segments are: Upholstery, which manufactures and imports upholstered furniture such as recliners and motion furniture, sofas, loveseats, chairs, sectionals, modulars, ottomans and sleeper sofas; Casegoods, which imports, markets, and distributes casegoods (wood) furniture as well as manufactures some custom upholstered furniture; and Retail, which sells upholstered furniture, in addition to some casegoods and other accessories.

Lennox International Inc.

Lennox International provides climate control solutions. The company designs, manufactures and markets products for the heating, ventilation, air conditioning and refrigeration markets. The company's segments are: Residential Heating and Cooling, which manufactures and markets furnaces, air conditioners, heat pumps, packaged heating and cooling systems, equipment and accessories, comfort control products, and replacement parts and supplies; Commercial Heating and Cooling, which manufactures and sells unitary heating and cooling equipment; and Refrigeration, which manufactures and markets equipment for the global commercial refrigeration markets under the Heatcraft Worldwide Refrigeration name.

LEONARDO DRS INC.

Li Auto Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A

MANPOWERGROUP

ManpowerGroup provides a range of workforce solutions and services, which include recruitment and assessment, training and development, career management, outsourcing, and workforce consulting. The company's family of brands and offerings includes Manpower, Experis, Right Management, and ManpowerGroup Solutions. The company's portfolio of recruitment services includes permanent, temporary and contract recruitment of professionals, as well as administrative and industrial positions. All of these services are provided under its Manpower and Experis brands. The company provides services under its Experis brand, particularly in the areas of Information Technology, Engineering, and Finance.

ON HLDNG AG

Republic Services Inc.

Republic Services is a provider of non-hazardous solid waste collection, transfer, disposal, recycling, and environmental services in the United States. The company operates through collection operations, transfer stations, active landfills, recycling processing centers, treatment, recovery and disposal facilities, salt water disposal wells, and deep injection wells. In addition, the company is engaged in landfill gas-to-energy and renewable energy projects and had post-closure responsibility for closed landfills. The company's operations primarily consist of providing collection, transfer and disposal of non-hazardous solid waste, recovering and recycling of certain materials, and environmental services.

Robert Half International Inc.

Robert Half International provides staffing and risk consulting services. The company, through its Accountemps, Robert Half Finance & Accounting, and Robert Half Management Resources divisions, is a provider of temporary, full-time, and project personnel in accounting and finance fields. The company's OfficeTeam division places office and administrative personnel, ranging from executive and administrative assistants to receptionists and customer service representatives. The Robert Half Technology division provides information technology contract consultants, places employees, and provides managed services in areas ranging from multiple platform systems integration to end-user technical and desktop support.

Shift4 Payments

Texas Instruments Incorporated

Texas Instruments designs and makes semiconductors that it sells to electronics designers and manufacturers. The company has two reportable segments: Analog and Embedded Processing. The company's analog semiconductors change signals, such as sound, temperature, pressure or images to a stream of digital data. The company's analog segment primary product lines includes: power, signal chain, and high volume. The company's embedded processors are designed to handle specific tasks and can be optimized for various combinations of performance, power and cost, depending on the application. The company's embedded processing segment primary product lines includes: connected microcontrollers and processors.

Trex Company Inc.

Trex Company is a manufacturer of composite decking and railing products, which are marketed under the brand name Trex?. In addition, the company is a national provider of custom-engineered railing and staging, systems for the commercial and multi-family market, including sports stadiums and performing arts venues. The company operates in two reportable segments: Trex Residential Products, which provides a set of product offerings in the decking, railing, fencing, steel deck framing, and outdoor lighting categories; and Trex Commercial Products, which designs and engineers custom railing solutions, which are used in collegiate sports facilities, standardized architectural and aluminum railing systems.

TriNet Group Inc.

TriNet Group is a provider of human resources (HR) solutions, payroll services, employee benefits and employment risk mitigation services for small to midsize businesses. The company delivers a suite of products and services, that facilitates the administration and management of various HR-related functions for its clients, including compensation and benefits, payroll processing, employee data, health insurance and workers' compensation programs, and other transactional HR needs using its technology platform. The company's products include TriNet Financial Services, TriNet Life Sciences, TriNet Main Street, TriNet Nonprofit, TriNet Professional Services, and TriNet Technology.

Tyler Technologies Inc.

Tyler Technologies provides information management solutions and services for the public sector. The company has two segments: Enterprise Software, which provides public sector entities with software systems and services to meet their information technology and automation needs for back-office functions such as financial management and education, courts and justice, planning, regulatory and maintenance, data and insights and case management and business management processes; and Appraisal and Tax, which provides systems and software that automate the appraisal and assessment of real and personal property as well as property appraisal outsourcing services for governments and taxing authorities.

UFP Industries Inc.

Universal Forest Products is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company designs, manufactures and markets wood and wood-alternative products for national home centers and other retailers, structural lumber and other products for the manufactured housing industry, engineered wood components for residential and commercial construction, specialty wood packaging, components and packing materials for various industries, and customized interior fixtures used in a variety of retail and commercial structures. In addition, the company provides outdoor living products. The company also sells engineered wood components to this market, which include roof trusses, wall panels and engineered floor systems.

Verisk Analytics Inc

Verisk Analytics is a data analytics provider serving customers in insurance, energy and specialized markets, and financial services. The company has three segments: Insurance, which provides underwriting and ratings and claims insurance data for the United States property and casualty insurance industry; Energy and Specialized Markets, which provides research and consulting data analytics for the global energy, chemicals, and metals and mining industries; and Financial Services, which provides benchmarking, decisioning algorithms, business intelligence, and customized analytic services to financial institutions, payment networks and processors, alternative lenders, regulators and merchants.

Wallbridge Mining Co. Ltd.

Wallbridge Mining Company is engaged in the acquisition and exploration of mineral properties for sulphide copper/nickel/platinum group metal deposits (PGMs) in Ontario. These mineral deposits tend to be polymetallic containing various amounts of copper, nickel, platinum, palladium, gold and other PGMs.

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.

West Fraser Timber is an integrated wood products company producing lumber, newprint, wood chips, plywood, panels and pulp and paper products.

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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