Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 48.27 For Business Accounts Only

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

SPKX, EGO, ASTL, IEX, MOD, CARR, KMT, TTC, DOOO, BWA, WNC, THRM, FOXF, GNTX, AOS, RRX, ADI, TXN, AMD, PI, SYNA, SWKS, IPGP, POWI, MCHP, DIOD, ON, FORM, AMKR, COHU, ITRI, LDOS, TXT, OLED, VECO, HOG, DHI, LEN, SPB, PII, CNR,




hort Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Underlyings
A. O. Smith Corporation

A.O. Smith is comprised of North America and Rest of World reporting segments. The company's Rest of World segment is primarily comprised of China, Europe and India. Both segments manufacture and market lines of residential and commercial gas and electric water heaters, boilers, tanks and water treatment products. Both segments primarily manufacture and market in their respective regions of the world. The company's Rest of World segment also manufactures and markets in-home air purification products in China. The company serves residential and commercial end markets in North America with a range of products including water heaters, boilers, water treatment products, and other.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

Advanced Micro Devices is a semiconductor company. The company primarily provides x86 microprocessors, as standalone devices or as incorporated into an accelerated processing unit, chipsets, graphics processing units (GPUs), data center and personnel GPUs, and development services; server and embedded processors, semi-custom System-on-Chip products, development services and technology for game consoles. The company also licenses portions of its intellectual property portfolio. The company's segments are: Computing and Graphics, which consists of desktop, notebooks, commercial, and chipsets products; and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom, which includes server processors, and embedded P\processors products.

Amkor Technology Inc.

Amkor Technology is a provider of outsourced semiconductor packaging and test services, which include semiconductor wafer bump, wafer probe, wafer back-grind, package design, packaging, system-level and final test and drop shipment services. The company's Advanced Products include flip chip chip scale packages, wafer-level packages and flip chip ball grid array packages, while its Mainstream Products include leadframe packages, substrate-based wirebond packages and micro-electro-mechanical systems packages. The company provides its services to integrated device manufacturers, fabless semiconductor companies and contract foundries.

Analog Devices Inc.

Analog Devices is an analog technology company. The company designs, manufactures, and markets a portfolio of solutions, including integrated circuits, algorithms, software, and subsystems. The company's analog products include data converter that translate real-world analog signals into digital data and also translate digital data into analog signals, amplifiers that condition analog signals, and power management and reference products that include functions such as power conversion, driver monitoring, sequencing and energy management. The company's digital signal processing products are designed to execute software programs, or algorithms, associated with processing digitized real-time, real-world data.

BorgWarner Inc.

BorgWarner is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a global product provider in technology solutions for combustion, hybrid and electric vehicles. The company manufactures and sells these products worldwide, primarily to original equipment manufacturers of light vehicles (passenger cars, sport-utility vehicles, vans and light trucks). The company's segments are: Engine, which provides turbochargers, eBoosters, timing systems, emissions systems, thermal systems, gasoline ignition technology, cabin heaters, battery heaters and battery charging; and Drivetrain, which provides rotating electrical components, power electronics, clutching systems, control modules and all-wheel drive systems.

BRP Inc.

BRP is engaged in the design, development, manufacturing, distribution and marketing of powersports vehicles and propulsion systems. Co's diversified portfolio of brands and products includes Ski-Doo and Lynx snowmobiles, Sea-Doo personal watercraft ("PWCs"), Can-Am all-terrain vehicles ("ATVs"), side-by-side vehicles ("SSVs") and Spyder roadsters, and propulsion systems composed of Evinrude outboard engines and Rotax engines for jet boats, karts, motorcycles and recreational aircraft. Additionally, Co. supports its line of products with a dedicated PAC business.

Canadian National Railway Company

Canadian National Railway, together with its wholly-owned subsidiaries, is engaged in the rail and related transportation business. Co.'s network of approximately 20,000 route miles of track spans Canada and mid-America, from the Atlantic and Pacific oceans to the Gulf of Mexico. Co.'s network and connections to all Class I railroads provide access to all three North American Free Trade Agreement nations. Co. handles and carries cargo, serving exporters, importers, retailers, farmers and manufacturers. Co. is engaged in the movement of a portfolio of goods, including petroleum and chemicals, grain and fertilizers, coal, metals and minerals, forest products, intermodal and automotive.

Carrier Global Corp.

Carrier is a global provider of heating, ventilating, air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, fire and security solutions. The company also provides a broad array of related building services, including audit, design, installation, system integration, repair, maintenance and monitoring. The company is organized into three business segments: HVAC; Refrigeration; and Fire & Security.

Cohu Inc.

Cohu provides semiconductor test equipment and services. The company's products include semiconductor test, which is used for wafer level and device package testing; semiconductor handlers, which are used to automate the testing and inspection of packaged semiconductor devices; thermal sub-systems, which provide temperature control of the integrated circuit during the testing process; bare board printed circuit board (PCB) test systems, which are used to test pre-assembly PCBs; interface products, which consist of test contactors and probe pins; spares and kits, which provide consumable, non-consumable and spare items; and services, which performs installations and maintenance of systems sold.

D.R. Horton Inc.

D.R. Horton is a homebuilding company. The company's business operations consist of homebuilding, a majority-owned residential lot development company, financial services and other activities. The company's financial services operations provide mortgage financing and title agency services to homebuyers in its homebuilding markets. The company's subsidiary, DHI Mortgage, provides mortgage financing services primarily to its homebuyers and generally sells the mortgages it originates and the related servicing rights to third-party purchasers. The company's subsidiary title companies serve as title insurance agents by providing title insurance policies, examination and closing services, primarily to its homebuyers.

Diodes Incorporated

Diodes is a manufacturer and supplier of application-specific standard products. The company's product line includes: discrete semiconductor products, which include performance Schottky rectifiers, performance Schottky diodes, Zener diodes and performance Zener diodes; analog products, which include power management devices; standard logic products including complementary metal-oxide-semiconductor devices and analog switches; multichip products and co-packaged discrete, analog and mixed-signal silicon in miniature packages; silicon and silicon epitaxial wafers used in manufacturing these products; and Frequency Control Products, which are electronic components that provide frequency references.

Eldorado Gold Corporation

Eldorado Gold is engaged in the exploration, development, mining and production of gold and other mining resources in Brazil, China, Turkey and Greece.

FormFactor Inc.

FormFactor is a provider of test and measurement technologies. The company's products provide electrical information from a range of semiconductor and electro-optical devices and integrated circuits from research, to development through production. The company designs, manufactures and sells multiple product lines, including probe cards, analytical probes, probe stations, thermal sub-systems, and related services. The company's customers use its products to test semiconductor device types, including mobile application processors, microprocessors, microcontrollers, graphic processors, radio frequency, analog, mixed signal, image sensors, opto-electrical, DRAM memory, NAND flash memory and NOR flash memory devices.

Fox Factory Holding Corp.

Fox Factory Holding is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of products and systems used on bicycles, side-by-side vehicles, on-road vehicles with and without off-road capabilities, off-road vehicles and trucks, all-terrain vehicles, snowmobiles, specialty vehicles and applications, motorcycles, and commercial trucks. In its powered vehicle product categories, the company provides products under the FOX, BDS Suspension, Zone Offroad, JKS Manufacturing, RT Pro UTV, 4x4 Posi-Lok, and Tuscany brands. The company's bike product offerings are used on a range of mountain bikes and road bikes under the FOX, Race Face, Easton Cycling and Marzocchi brands.

Gentex Corporation

Gentex designs and manufactures automatic-dimming rearview mirrors and electronics for the automotive industry, dimmable aircraft windows for the aviation industry, and commercial smoke alarms and signaling devices for the fire protection industry. The company's key business involves designing, developing, manufacturing and marketing interior and exterior automatic-dimming automotive rearview mirrors that use electrochromic technology to dim in proportion to the amount of headlight glare from trailing vehicle headlamps. The company also designs, develops and manufactures various electronics features to the interior and exterior automotive rearview mirrors as well as interior visors and overhead consoles.

Gentherm Incorporated

Gentherm designs, develops, and manufactures thermal management technologies. The company's products provide solutions for automotive passenger comfort, battery thermal management, remote power generation, patient temperature management, and other consumer and industrial temperature control needs. The company has two segments: Automotive, which includes climate comfort systems, automotive cable systems, battery thermal management, and automotive electronic and software systems; and Industrial, which includes the company's remote power generation systems business, its patient temperature management systems business, its environmental testing equipment business and its research and product development division.

Harley-Davidson Inc.

Harley-Davidson is the parent company of Harley-Davidson Motor Company (HDMC) and Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS). The company's segments are: Motorcycles and Related Products, which consists of HDMC that designs, manufactures and sells Harley-Davidson motorcycles as well as motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise and services; and Financial Services, which consists of HDFS that is engaged in the business of financing and servicing wholesale inventory receivables and retail consumer loans, primarily for the purchase of Harley-Davidson motorcycles. HDFS also provides motorcycle insurance and protection products to motorcycle owners.

IDEX CORPORATION

IDEX is an applied solutions business that sells pumps, valves, flow meters and other fluidics systems and components and engineered products. The company's segments are: Fluid and Metering Technologies, which designs, produces and distributes positive displacement pumps, flow meters, injectors and other fluid-handling pump modules and systems; Health and Science Technologies, which designs, produces and distributes fluidics, rotary lobe pumps, centrifugal and positive displacement pumps, roll compaction and drying systems; and Fire and Safety/Diversified Products, which designs, produces and distributes firefighting pumps, valves and controls, rescue tools, and lifting bags.

Impinj Inc.

Impinj enables wireless connectivity for everyday items, delivering each items' identity, location and authenticity to business and consumer applications. The company's platform comprises endpoint integrated circuits, or ICs, connectivity and software that together deliver item data to business and consumer applications. The company's platform spans endpoints, connectivity and software and provides wireless item connectivity and information delivery. The company sells endpoint ICs, reader ICs, reader modules, readers, gateways and software as well as provides development, service and license agreements.

IPG Photonics Corporation

IPG Photonics is a developer and manufacturer of a line of fiber lasers, fiber amplifiers and diode lasers that are used in various applications, primarily in materials processing. The company designs and manufactures a range of optical fiber-based lasers and amplifiers. The company also makes packaged diodes, direct diode lasers, laser systems and communications components and systems. A majority of the company's products are designed to be used as general-purpose energy or light sources.

Itron Inc.

Itron is engaged in the Industrial Internet of Things, providing solutions that enable utilities and municipalities to operate their infrastructure. The company's solutions include the deployment of smart networks, software, services, devices, sensors, and data analytics. The company's solutions and data analytics address the challenges facing the energy, water, and municipality sectors, including non-technical loss, leak detection, and environmental and regulatory compliance. The company also provides managed services, software-as-a-service, technical support services, licensing hardware technology, and consulting services. The company operates under three segments: Device Solutions, Networked Solutions, and Outcomes.

Kennametal Inc.

Kennametal engages in the development and application of tungsten carbides, ceramics, materials and solutions used in metal cutting and extreme wear applications. The company's standard and custom product offering spans metalworking and wear applications including turning, milling, hole making, tooling systems and services, as well as other wear components and metallurgical powders. End users of the company's metalworking products include manufacturers engaged in a range of industries including: the manufacturers of transportation vehicles and components, machine tools and light and heavy machinery; airframe and aerospace components; and energy-related components for the oil and gas industry.

LEGATO MERGER CORP

Leidos Holdings Inc.

Leidos Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in a science, engineering and information technology that provides services and solutions in the defense, intelligence, civil and health markets. The company's defense solutions segment deploys solutions in the areas of intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance, enterprise information technology, integrated systems, cybersecurity and global services. The company's civil segment integrates and protects physical, digital and data domains. The company's health segment delivers solutions to federal and commercial customers that are responsible for the health and well-being of people including service members and veterans.

Lennar Corporation Class A

Lennar is a homebuilder in the United States, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. The company's homebuilding operations include the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes as well as the purchase, development and sale of residential land directly and through unconsolidated entities in which it has investments. The company operates under the Lennar brand name. The company creates and participates in joint ventures that acquire and develop land for its homebuilding operations, for sale to third parties or for use in the ventures' own homebuilding operations.

Microchip Technology Incorporated

Microchip Technology develops, manufactures and sells semiconductor products. The company's product portfolio comprises general purpose and other eight-bit, 16-bit, 32-bit microcontrollers, 32-bit microprocessors, field-programmable gate array products, a range of linear, mixed-signal, power management, thermal management, discrete diodes, Metal Oxide Semiconductor Field Effect Transistors, radio frequency, timing, timing systems, safety, security, wired connectivity and wireless connectivity devices, serial Electrically Erasable Programmable Read Only Memory, Serial Flash memories, Parallel Flash memories, Serial Electrically Erasable Random Access Memory and serial Static Random Access Memory.

Modine Manufacturing Company

Modine Manufacturing is engaged in providing thermal management solutions. The company is a provider of engineered heat transfer systems and heat transfer components for use in on- and off-highway original equipment manufacturer vehicular applications. In addition, the company is involved in thermal management technology and solutions for sale into a range of commercial, industrial, and building heating, ventilating, air conditioning, and refrigeration markets. The company's primary product groups include powertrain cooling and engine cooling; coils, coolers, and coatings; and heating, ventilation and air conditioning.

Nuveen S&P 500 Dynamic Overwri

ON Semiconductor Corporation

ON Semiconductor is engaged in energy efficient electronics. The company is organized into three segments: Power Solutions Group, which provides a range of discrete, module and integrated semiconductor products; Analog Solutions Group, which designs and develops analog, mixed-signal, and advanced logic application specific integrated circuits and Application Specific Standard Product, and power solutions; and Image Sensor Group, which designs and develops complementary metal oxide semiconductor and charge-coupled device image sensors, as well as proximity sensors, image signal processors and actuator drivers for autofocus and image stabilization for automotive and industrial markets, among others.

Polaris Inc.

Polaris designs, engineers and manufactures powersports vehicles which include, off-road vehicles, including all-terrain vehicles and side-by-side vehicles for recreational and utility use, snowmobiles, motorcycles, global adjacent markets vehicles, including commercial, government and defense vehicles, and boats. The company's products, together with related Parts, Garments and Accessories, as well as aftermarket accessories and apparel, are sold through dealers, distributors and retail stores principally located in the United States, Canada, Western Europe, Australia and Mexico.

Power Integrations Inc.

Power Integrations designs, develops and markets analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits and other electronic components and circuitry used in high-voltage power conversion. The company's products are used in power converters that convert electricity from a high-voltage source to the type of power required for a specified downstream use. In most cases, this conversion entails, among other functions, converting alternating current (AC) to direct current (DC) or vice versa, reducing or increasing the voltage, and regulating the output voltage and/or current according to the customer's specifications. The company's products are AC-DC power conversion, High-voltage gate drivers, and Motor-driver products.

Regal Beloit Corp

Regal Beloit is a manufacturer of electric motors, electrical motion controls, power generation and power transmission products. The company is comprised of four operating segments: Commercial Systems, which produces AC and DC motors, electronic variable speed controls, fans, and blowers for commercial applications; Industrial Systems, which produces motors, generators, alternators and switchgear for industrial applications, along with aftermarket parts and kits to support such products; Climate Solutions, which produces small motors, electronic variable speed controls and air moving solutions; and Power Transmission Solutions, which produces, sells and services belt and chain drives.

Skyworks Solutions Inc.

Skyworks Solutions is a provider of analog semiconductors that connect people, places, and things, spanning a number of applications within the aerospace, automotive, broadband, cellular infrastructure, connected home, industrial, medical, military, smartphone, tablet and wearable markets. The company's product portfolio consists of various solutions, including: amplifiers, antenna tuners, attenuators, circulators/isolators, wireless analog system on chip, direct current (DC)/DC converters, demodulators, detectors, diodes, directional couplers, diversity receive modules, filters, front-end modules, hybrid, light emitting diode drivers, low noise amplifiers, mixers, and modulators.

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.

Spectrum Brands Holdings manufactures, markets and/or distributes its products globally in the North America, Europe, Middle East and Africa, Latin America and Asia-Pacific regions through retailers, wholesalers and distributors, original equipment manufacturers and construction companies. The company's segments are: Hardware and Home Improvement, which includes security, plumbing and accessories, and builders' hardware product categories; Home and Personal Care, which includes home appliances and personal care product categories; Global Pet Care, which includes companion animal and aquatics product categories; and Home and Garden, which includes household and controls product categories.

SYNAPTICS INCORPORATED

Synaptics is a developer and supplier of custom-designed human interface semiconductor product solutions that enable people to interact with a variety of mobile computing, communications, entertainment, and other electronic devices. The company targets the markets for smartphones, tablets, personal computer, products, Internet of Things, products and other select electronic devices, including devices in automobiles. The company's family of products includes: ClearPad?, ClearView?, TouchView?, Natural ID?, TouchPad?, SecurePad?, ClickPad?, ForcePad?, AudioSmart?, VideoSmart?, ImagingSmart?, and other product solutions.

Texas Instruments Incorporated

Texas Instruments designs and makes semiconductors that it sells to electronics designers and manufacturers. The company has two reportable segments: Analog and Embedded Processing. The company's analog semiconductors change signals, such as sound, temperature, pressure or images to a stream of digital data. The company's analog segment primary product lines includes: power, signal chain, and high volume. The company's embedded processors are designed to handle specific tasks and can be optimized for various combinations of performance, power and cost, depending on the application. The company's embedded processing segment primary product lines includes: connected microcontrollers and processors.

Textron Inc.

Textron is a multi-industry company. The company's segments include: Textron Aviation, which manufactures, sells and services Beechcraft and Cessna aircraft, and services the Hawker brand of business jets; Bell, which supplies military and commercial helicopters, tiltrotor aircraft, and related spare parts and services; Textron Systems, which includes unmanned systems, marine and land systems, and simulation, training and other; Industrial, which designs and manufactures a variety of products within fuel systems and functional components and specialized vehicles product lines; and Finance, which provides financing to purchasers of new and pre-owned Textron Aviation aircraft and Bell helicopters.

Toro Company

Toro designs, manufactures, and markets turf maintenance equipment and services, turf irrigation systems, landscaping equipment and lighting products, snow and ice management products, agricultural irrigation systems, rental and underground construction equipment, and residential yard and snow thrower products. The company's segments include: Professional, which markets its products worldwide through a network of distributors and dealers, as well as directly to government customers, rental companies, and retailers; and Residential, which markets its products to homeowners through outdoor power equipment distributors and dealers, mass retailers, hardware retailers, home centers, as well as online.

Universal Display Corporation

Universal Display is engaged in the research, development and commercialization of organic light emitting diode (OLED) technologies and materials for use in displays and lighting applications. The company manufactures and sells its proprietary OLED materials to customers for evaluation and use in commercial OLED products. The company also enters into agreements with manufacturers of OLED display and lighting products under which the company grants them licenses to practice under the company's patents and to use the company's proprietary know-how. At the same time, the company works with these and other companies that are evaluating the company's OLED technologies and materials for possible use in commercial OLED display and lighting products.

Veeco Instruments Inc.

Veeco Instruments is a manufacturer of semiconductor and thin film process equipment. The company's system products include: Metal Organic Chemical Vapor Deposition Systems, Advanced Packaging Lithography, Precision Surface Processing Systems (Wet Etch and Clean), Laser Annealing Systems, Ion Beam Deposition and Etch Systems, Molecular Beam Epitaxy Systems, 3D Wafer Inspection Systems, and Atomic Layer Deposition and Other Deposition Systems. The company's systems are used in the production of microelectronic components, including light emitting diodes, micro-electro mechanical systems, radio frequency filters and amplifiers, power electronics, thin film magnetic heads, and other semiconductor devices.

Wabash National Corporation

Wabash National provides solutions for the transportation, logistics, and distribution industries. The company's segments are: Commercial Trailer Products, which designs and manufactures dry and refrigerated vans, platform trailers and other transportation related equipment; Diversified Products, which designs and manufactures liquid transportation systems, isolators, stationary silos and downflow booths, and various proprietary products, including a line of aerodynamic solutions to improve overall trailer aerodynamics and fuel economy; and Final Mile Products, which designs and manufactures cutaway and dry-freight van bodies and refrigerated and stake bodies.

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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