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Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
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Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Underlyings
Adient plc

AGCO Corporation

AGCO is a manufacturer and distributor of agricultural equipment and related replacement parts. The company sells a range of agricultural equipment, including tractors, combines, self-propelled sprayers, hay tools, forage equipment, seeding and tillage equipment, implements, and grain storage and protein production systems. The company's products are used in the agricultural equipment industry and are marketed under the Challenger?, Fendt?, GSI?, Massey Ferguson? and Valtra? brands. The company distributes its products through independent dealers and distributors. In addition, the company provides retail and wholesale financing through its finance joint ventures with Cooperatieve Centrale Raiffeisen-Boerenleenbank B.A.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

American Woodmark Corporation

American Woodmark manufactures and distributes kitchen, bath and home organization products for the remodeling and new home construction markets. The company provides a variety of products that fall into product lines including kitchen cabinetry, bath cabinetry, office cabinetry, home organization and hardware. The company's cabinetry products are available in a variety of designs, finishes and finish colors and door styles. The company provides products in the following categories: made-to-order, which are special ordered and shipped directly to the home from the factory; and stock, which represents cash and carry products sold through home centers. The company's home organization products are stock products.

ArcelorMittal

Atkore Inc

Atkore International Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is engaged as a manufacturer of Electrical Raceway products primarily for the non-residential construction and renovation markets and Mechanical Products and Solutions (MP&S) for the construction and industrial markets. The company's segments are: Electrical Raceway, which ufactures products that deploy, isolate and protect a structure's electrical circuitry from the original power source to the final outlet; and MP&S, which provides products and services that frame, support and secure component parts in a range of structures, equipment and systems in electrical, industrial and construction applications.

Brunswick Corporation

Brunswick is a global designer, manufacturer, and marketer of recreation marine products including marine engines, boats, and parts and accessories for those products. The company operates in the following segments: Marine Engine, which manufactures and markets a range of outboard, sterndrive, and inboard engine and propulsion systems under, among other brand names, Mercury, Mercury MerCruiser, Mercury Racing, and MotorGuide brands; and Boat, which manufactures and markets the following types of boats: fiberglass sport boats, cruisers, sport fishing and center-console, offshore fishing, aluminum and fiberglass fishing, pontoon, utility, deck, inflatable, tow/wake, and heavy-gauge aluminum.

Dow Inc.

Dow is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company delivers science-based products and solutions for its customers. The company's segments are: Packaging and Specialty Plastics, which focuses on polyolefin product portfolio to deliver plastics to customers; Industrial Intermediates and Infrastructure, which produces and markets ethylene oxide and propylene oxide derivatives that are aligned to market segments as appliances, coatings, infrastructure and oil and gas; and Performance Materials and Coatings, which utilizes the company's acrylics-, cellulosics- and silicone-based technology platforms to serve the needs of the architectural and industrial coatings, home care and personal care end-markets.

Dream Finders Homes

Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc.

Fortune Brands Home & Security is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides home and security products. The company's segments are: Cabinets, which manufactures cabinetry and vanities, for the kitchen, bath and other parts of the home; Plumbing, which manufactures or assembles and sells faucets, accessories, kitchen sinks and waste disposals; and Doors and Security, which manufactures and sells fiberglass and steel entry door systems, composite decking and railing, and urethane millwork, as well as manufactures, sources and distributes locks, safety and security devices, and electronic security products and fire resistant safes, security containers and commercial cabinets.

Gibraltar Industries Inc.

Gibraltar Industries is a manufacturer and distributor of building products for residential, industrial, infrastructure, renewable energy and conservation markets. The company has three segments: Residential Products, which services the residential repair and remodeling and the housing construction markets; Industrial and Infrastructure Products, which serves a variety of end markets such as industrial and commercial construction, highway and bridge construction, automotive, airports and energy and power generation; and Renewable Energy and Conservation, which is primarily a designer and manufacturer of solar mounting systems and greenhouse structures.

Greif Class A

Greif is a producer of industrial packaging products and services. The company's segments are: Rigid Industrial Packaging and Services, which products including steel, fibre and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, closure systems for industrial packaging products, and transit protection products; Paper Packaging and Services, which produces and sells containerboard, corrugated sheets, corrugated containers and other corrugated products; Flexible Products and Services, which produces flexible intermediate bulk containers and related services; and Land Management, which is focused on the harvesting and regeneration of the company's United States timber properties.

HAYWARD HLDGS INC

Hexcel Corporation

Hexcel is a composites company with two reportable segments. The Composite Materials segment manufactures and markets carbon fibers, fabrics and specialty reinforcements, prepregs and other fiber-reinforced matrix materials, structural adhesives, honeycomb, molding compounds, tooling materials, polyurethane systems and laminates that are incorporated into several applications, including military and commercial aircraft, wind turbine blades, recreational products, transportation and other industrial applications. The Engineered Products segment manufactures and markets composite structures and precision machined honeycomb parts primarily for use in the aerospace industry.

Huntsman Corporation

Huntsman is a manufacturer of organic chemical products. The company's products are used in a range of applications, including those in the adhesives, aerospace, automotive, construction products, personal care and hygiene, durable and non-durable consumer products, digital inks, electronics, insulation, medical, packaging, coatings and construction, power generation, refining, synthetic fiber, textile chemicals and dyes industries. The company's primary product lines include methyl diphenyl diisocyanate, amines, maleic anhydride, epoxy-based polymer formulations, textile chemicals and dyes. The company's segments are: Polyurethanes, Performance Products, Advanced Materials and Textile Effects.

Illinois Tool Works Inc.

Illinois Tool Works manufactures a range of industrial products and equipment. Automotive OEM segment produces components and fasteners for automotive-related applications. Food Equipment segment is engaged in commercial food equipment. Test and Measurement and Electronics segment produces equipment for testing and measuring of materials and structures. Welding segment produces arc welding equipment, consumables and accessories. Polymers and Fluids segment produces adhesives, sealants, lubrication and cutting fluids for auto aftermarket maintenance. Construction Products segment supplies fastening systems and solutions. Specialty Products segment is focused on patent protection.

Jabil Inc.

Jabil is a provider of manufacturing services and solutions. The company provides electronics design, production and product management services to companies in various industries and end markets. The company's manufacturing and supply chain management services and solutions include design, planning, fabrication and assembly, delivery and managing the flow of resources and products. The company's segments include: Electronics Manufacturing Services, which utilizes information technology, supply chain design and engineering, technologies centered on primary electronics; and Diversified Manufacturing Services, which provides engineering solutions, with a focus on material sciences, technologies and healthcare.

Koppers Holdings Inc.

Koppers Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a provider of treated wood products, wood treatment chemicals, and carbon compounds. The company operates three principal business segments: Railroad and Utility Products and Services, which supplies railroad crossties to the North American railroads; Performance Chemicals, which manufactures and supplies water-based wood preservatives and wood specialty additives to treaters who supply the residential, agricultural and industrial pressure-treated wood markets; and Carbon Materials and Chemicals, which processes coal tar into a variety of products, including creosote and other related railroad products.

Lear Corporation

Lear is a supplier to the automotive industry. The company supplies seating, electrical distribution systems and electronic modules, as well as related sub-systems, components and software, to automotive manufacturers. The company has two segments: Seating, which consists of the design, development, engineering, just-in-time assembly and delivery of seat systems, and the design, development, engineering and manufacture of seat components; and E-Systems, which consists of the design, development, engineering and manufacture of electrical distribution systems, and electronic control modules, electrification products, connectivity products and software solutions for the cloud, vehicles and mobile devices.

MGP Ingredients Inc.

MGP Ingredients is a producer and supplier of distilled spirits and specialty wheat protein and starch food ingredients. The company has two reportable segments: distillery products and ingredient solutions. The distillery products segment processes corn and other grains (including rye, barley, wheat, barley malt, and milo) into food grade alcohol and distillery co-products, such as distillers feed (called dried distillers grain in the industry), fuel grade alcohol, and corn oil. The company also provides warehouse services. The ingredient solutions segment consists primarily of specialty wheat starches, specialty wheat proteins, commodity wheat starches, and commodity wheat proteins.

Nucor Corporation

Nucor manufactures steel and steel products. The company's operations include international trading and sales companies that buy and sell steel and steel products. The company's segments are: steel mills, which produces sheet steel, plate steel, structural steel, and bar steel; steel products, which produces hollow structural section steel tubing, electrical conduit, steel joists and joist girders, steel deck, cold finished steel, steel fasteners, metal building systems, and wire and wire mesh; and raw materials, which produces direct reduced iron (DRI), brokers ferrous and nonferrous metals, pig iron, hot briquetted iron and DRI, supplies ferro-alloys, and processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap metal.

OSHKOSH CORP

Oshkosh is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of access equipment, specialty vehicles and truck bodies for the primary markets of access equipment, defense, fire and emergency and municipal, refuse hauling, concrete placement as well as airport services. The company's segments are: access equipment, which designs and manufactures aerial work platforms and telehandlers; defense, which designs and manufactures tactical wheeled vehicles and related service; fire and emergency, which designs and manufactures fire apparatus assembled on custom chassis; and commercial, which designs and manufactures front- and rear-discharge concrete mixers and portable and stationary concrete batch plants.

Silicon Laboratories Inc.

Silicon Laboratories is a provider of silicon, software and solutions for the Internet of Things (IoT), Internet infrastructure, industrial automation, consumer and automotive markets. The company provides analog-intensive, mixed-signal solutions for use in a variety of electronic products in a range of applications for the IoT including connected home and security, industrial automation and control, smart metering, smart lighting, commercial building automation, consumer electronics, asset tracking and medical instrumentation. The company provides a range of timing and isolation products for infrastructure applications including clocks and oscillators for networking equipment, and data centers.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc.

SiteOne Landscape Supply is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a national wholesale distributor of landscape supplies in the U.S. and Canada. The company's customers are primarily residential and commercial landscape personnel who focuses on the design, installation and maintenance of lawns, gardens, golf courses and other outdoor spaces. Through its North American network, the company provides irrigation supplies, fertilizer and control products, landscape accessories, nursery goods, hardscapes, outdoor lighting and ice melt products. The company also provides consultative services, as well as a series of technical and business management seminars that it calls SiteOne University.

Snap-on Incorporated

Snap-on is a manufacturer and marketer of tools, equipment, diagnostics, repair information and systems solutions. Products and services include hand and power tools, tool storage, diagnostics software, handheld and PC-based diagnostic products, information and management systems, shop equipment and other solutions for vehicle dealerships and repair centers, as well as for customers in industries, such as aviation and aerospace, agriculture, construction, government and military, mining, natural resources, power generation and technical education. The company also provides financing programs designed to facilitate the sales of its products and support its franchise business.

Sonoco Products Company

Sonoco Products is a manufacturer of industrial and consumer packaging products and a provider of packaging services. The company's segments are: Consumer Packaging, which includes round composite cans, shaped rigid paperboard containers, fiber and plastic caulk/adhesive tubes, aluminum, steel and peelable membrane easy-open closures for composite and metal cans; Paper and Industrial Converted Products, which include recycled paperboard, chipboard, tubeboard, lightweight corestock, boxboard, linerboard, corrugating medium, edgeboard, paper grades, and adhesives; Display and Packaging, which include point-of-purchase displays; and Protective Solutions, which include packaging and components.

Standard Motor Products Inc.

Standard Motor Products is a manufacturer and distributor of replacement parts for the engine management and temperature control systems of motor vehicles in the automotive aftermarket industry with a complementary focus on heavy duty, industrial equipment and the original equipment market. The company's segment are: Engine Management, which manufactures and distributes a line of components for the ignition, electrical, emissions, fuel and safety-related systems of motor vehicles; and Temperature Control, which manufactures and distributes a line of components for the temperature control systems, engine cooling systems, power window accessories and windshield washer systems of motor vehicles.

TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL INC

Tempur Sealy International develops, manufactures, and markets bedding products. The company's portfolio of product brands includes Tempur?, Tempur-Pedic?, Sealy? featuring Posturepedic? Technology, Stearns & Foster? and Comfort Revolution?. The company operates in two segments: North America and International. The company's North America segment consists of Tempur and Sealy manufacturing and distribution subsidiaries and licensees located in United States and Canada. The company's International segment consists of Tempur and Sealy manufacturing and distribution subsidiaries, joint ventures and licensees located in Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America.

Thor Industries Inc.

Thor Industries is a manufacturer of recreational vehicles. The company has three segments: North American Towable Recreational Vehicles, which consists of: Airstream (towable), Heartland (including Bison, Cruiser RV and DRV), Jayco (including Jayco towable, Starcraft and Highland Ridge), Keystone (including CrossRoads and Dutchmen) and KZ (including Venture RV); North American Motorized Recreational Vehicle, which consists of: Airstream (motorized), Jayco (including Jayco motorized and Entegra Coach) and Thor Motor Coach; and European Recreational Vehicles, which consists of the Erwin Hymer Group business.

Trex Company Inc.

Trex Company is a manufacturer of composite decking and railing products, which are marketed under the brand name Trex?. In addition, the company is a national provider of custom-engineered railing and staging, systems for the commercial and multi-family market, including sports stadiums and performing arts venues. The company operates in two reportable segments: Trex Residential Products, which provides a set of product offerings in the decking, railing, fencing, steel deck framing, and outdoor lighting categories; and Trex Commercial Products, which designs and engineers custom railing solutions, which are used in collegiate sports facilities, standardized architectural and aluminum railing systems.

UFP Industries Inc.

Universal Forest Products is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company designs, manufactures and markets wood and wood-alternative products for national home centers and other retailers, structural lumber and other products for the manufactured housing industry, engineered wood components for residential and commercial construction, specialty wood packaging, components and packing materials for various industries, and customized interior fixtures used in a variety of retail and commercial structures. In addition, the company provides outdoor living products. The company also sells engineered wood components to this market, which include roof trusses, wall panels and engineered floor systems.

Watts Water Technologies Inc. Class A

Watts Water Technologies is a supplier of products, solutions and systems that manage and conserve the flow of fluids and energy into, through and out of buildings in the commercial and residential markets. The company's product lines are: residential and commercial flow control products, which includes backflow preventers, water pressure regulators, and temperature; heating, ventilation, and air conditioning and gas products, which includes boilers, water heaters and heating solutions; drainage and water re-use products, which includes drainage products and rain water harvesting solutions; and water quality products, which includes water filtration, conditioning and scale prevention systems.

Weyerhaeuser Company

Weyerhaeuser is a real estate investment trust. The company's business segments are: Timberlands, which provides delivered logs (grade logs and fiber logs), timber, recreational leases and other products; Real Estate, Energy and Natural Resources (ENR), in which Real Estate sells timberland tracts for recreational, conservation, commercial or residential purposes, whereas ENR sells rights to explore, extract and sell construction aggregates (rock, sand and gravel), industrial materials and oil and natural gas; and Wood Products, which provides structural lumber, oriented strand board, wood products, other products, and complementary building products.

Winnebago Industries Inc.

Winnebago Industries is a manufacturer with a portfolio of recreation vehicles and marine products used primarily in leisure travel and outdoor recreation activities. The company's reportable segments include: Towable, which is comprised of products which are not motorized and are generally towed by another vehicle as well as other related manufactured products and services; and Motorhome, which is comprised of products that include a motorized chassis as well as other related manufactured products and services. The company's subsidiary, Chris-Craft USA, Inc., manufactures and sells boats in the recreational powerboat industry through a network of independent authorized dealers.

ZURN WATER SOLUTIONS CORP

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Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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