Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 45.53 For Business Accounts Only

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

Key Points:

• Insurance companies and insurance brokers continue to be leadership.
• Auto repair retailers and service companies continue to develop as leadership.
• Facebook, Netflix and Amazon are all making negative inflections.
• Home Depot and Lowes have declined through their 200-day moving averages and appear to be tops.
Underlyings
Advance Auto Parts Inc.

Advance Auto Parts is an automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America, serving both professional installers (Professional), and do-it-yourself (DIY), customers as well as independently owned operators. The company's stores and branches provide a range selection of brand name, original equipment manufacturer and private label automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles and light and heavy duty trucks. Through its integrated operating approach, the company serves its Professional and DIY customers through a variety of channels ranging from brick and mortar store locations to self-service e-commerce sites.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

Gallagher (Arthur J.) is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides insurance brokerage, consulting and third party claims settlement and administration services to both domestic and international entities. The company's segments are: brokerage, which is primarily comprised of its retail and wholesale insurance brokerage operations; risk management, which provides contract claim settlement and administration services for enterprises and public entities that choose to self-insure their property/casualty coverages and for underwriting enterprises that choose to outsource their property/casualty claims departments; and corporate, which manages its clean energy and other investments.

ATN International Inc.

ATN International is a holding company that, directly and through its subsidiaries, owns and operates telecommunications and renewable energy businesses in North America, India, Bermuda and the Caribbean. The company has three segments: U.S. Telecom, which provides wholesale wireless voice and data roaming services to national, regional, local and selected international wireless carriers in rural markets located mainly in the Southwest and Midwest U.S.; International Telecom, which includes voice and data services to retail customers in Bermuda, Guyana and the U.S. Virgin Islands; and Renewable Energy, which provides distributed generation solar power to corporate, utility and municipal customers.

Brunswick Corporation

Brunswick is a global designer, manufacturer, and marketer of recreation marine products including marine engines, boats, and parts and accessories for those products. The company operates in the following segments: Marine Engine, which manufactures and markets a range of outboard, sterndrive, and inboard engine and propulsion systems under, among other brand names, Mercury, Mercury MerCruiser, Mercury Racing, and MotorGuide brands; and Boat, which manufactures and markets the following types of boats: fiberglass sport boats, cruisers, sport fishing and center-console, offshore fishing, aluminum and fiberglass fishing, pontoon, utility, deck, inflatable, tow/wake, and heavy-gauge aluminum.

Children's Place Inc.

Children's Place is a children's apparel retailer in North America. The company sells apparel, accessories, footwear and other items for children. The company designs, contracts to manufacture, sells at retail and wholesale, and licenses to sell merchandise, the substantial majority of which is under the proprietary The Children's Place, Place and Baby Place brand names. The company has differentiated departments and serves the wardrobe needs of girls and boys, toddler girls and boys and baby. The company's merchandise is also available online at www.childrensplace.com. The company's segments are The Children's Place U.S. and The Children's Place International.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Chipotle Mexican Grill together with its subsidiaries operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants, which feature a menu of burritos, burrito bowls (a burrito without the tortilla), tacos, and salads. The company operates Chipotle restaurants throughout the United States, international Chipotle restaurants, and non-Chipotle restaurants. The company uses various herbs, spices and seasonings to prepare its meats and vegetables. The company also serves tortilla chips that seasoned with lime juice and salt, with sides of hand mashed guacamole, salsas, or queso. In addition to sodas, fruit and tea drinks, and organic milk, most of the company's restaurants also provide a selection of beer and margaritas.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Cincinnati Financial is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in property casualty insurance. The company's market property casualty insurance group includes its subsidiaries, The Cincinnati Casualty Company and The Cincinnati Indemnity Company, which write business, homeowner and auto policies. The company's subsidiary, The Cincinnati Insurance Company conducts the business of the company's reinsurance assumed operations. Other subsidiaries include: The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company, which provides life insurance policies and fixed annuities; and The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company, which provides excess and surplus lines insurance products.

Comfort Systems USA Inc.

Comfort Systems USA provides mechanical contracting services, which include heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC), plumbing, piping and controls, as well as off-site construction, electrical, monitoring and fire protection. The company provides construction, renovation, expansion, maintenance, repair and replacement services for mechanical and related systems in commercial, industrial and institutional properties. The company's installation business related to newly constructed facilities involves the design, engineering, integration, installation and start-up of mechanical and related systems. The company also provides remote monitoring of temperature, pressure, humidity and air flow for HVAC systems.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is principally engaged in the operation and development of the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store? concept. The format of the company's stores consists of a trademarked rustic old country-store design providing a restaurant menu that features home-style country food and a variety of items such as rocking chairs, holiday and seasonal gifts, toys, apparel, cookware and foods. The company's restaurants serve breakfast, lunch and dinner daily. Lunch and dinner items include southern fried chicken, chicken and dumplings, chicken fried chicken, meatloaf, country fried steak, pork chops, fish, steak, roast beef, vegetable plates, sandwiches and a variety of salads.

Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Deckers Outdoor is engaged in designing, marketing and distributing footwear, apparel and accessories. The company markets its products primarily under five brands. The UGG brand is comprised of a line of footwear, apparel and accessories for women, men and children. The HOKA brand is a line of footwear and apparel. The Teva brand's product line includes sandals, shoes, and boots. Sanuk brand is comprised of casual shoe and sandal categories. Other brands consist of Koolaburra by UGG brand, a casual footwear fashion using sheepskin and other plush materials. The company's retail stores are primarily UGG brand concept and UGG brand outlet stores.

Donaldson Company Inc.

Donaldson is a manufacturer of filtration systems and replacement parts. The company has two operating segments: Engine Products, which consist of replacement filters for both air and liquid filtration applications, air filtration systems, liquid filtration systems for fuel, lube and hydraulic applications, and exhaust and emissions systems and sensors, indicators and monitoring systems; and Industrial Products, which consist of dust, fume and mist collectors, compressed air purification systems, gas and liquid filtration for food, beverage and industrial processes, air filtration systems for gas turbines, polytetrafluoroethylene membrane-based products and air and gas filtration systems.

EHealth Inc.

eHealth is a health insurance marketplace with a technology and service platform that provides consumer engagement, education and health insurance enrollment solutions. The company operates its business in two segments: Medicare, which markets a selection of Medicare-related health insurance plans, and to a lesser extent, ancillary products such as dental and vision insurance, to its Medicare-eligible customers; and Individual, Family and Small Business, which markets individual and family health insurance and small business health insurance plans through its ecommerce platforms (www.eHealth.com and www.eHealthInsurance.com).

Facebook Inc. Class A

Facebook is building and engaging products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality headsets, and in-home devices. The company's products include: Facebook, which enables people to connect, share, discover, and communicate with each other on mobile devices and personal computers; Instagram, which is a place where people can express themselves through photos, videos, and private messaging, and explore their interests in businesses, creators and communities; Messenger and WhatsApp, which are messaging applications; and Oculus, which connects people through its Oculus virtual reality products.

First Bancorp

First BanCorp is a financial holding company that provides financial services for retail, commercial and institutional clients. The company's segments are: Commercial and Corporate Banking, which provides commercial loans; Mortgage Banking, which provides residential mortgage loans; Consumer (Retail) Banking, which provides consumer lending, deposit-taking and insurance agency activities; Treasury and Investments, which provides treasury and investment management; United States Operations, which consists of banking activities in the United States mainland; Virgin Islands Operations, which consists of banking activities in the United States Virgin Islands and the British Virgin Islands.

Harley-Davidson Inc.

Harley-Davidson is the parent company of Harley-Davidson Motor Company (HDMC) and Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS). The company's segments are: Motorcycles and Related Products, which consists of HDMC that designs, manufactures and sells Harley-Davidson motorcycles as well as motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise and services; and Financial Services, which consists of HDFS that is engaged in the business of financing and servicing wholesale inventory receivables and retail consumer loans, primarily for the purchase of Harley-Davidson motorcycles. HDFS also provides motorcycle insurance and protection products to motorcycle owners.

Home Depot Inc.

The Home Depot is a home improvement retailer. The company provides its customers an assortment of building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and decor products and provides a number of services, including home improvement installation services and tool and equipment rental. The company also maintains a network of distribution and fulfillment centers, as well as a number of e-commerce websites. The company provides a number of programs for its Professional Customers to meet their particular needs, and for its Do-It-Yourself and Do-It-For-Me customers, the company provides a number of installation services. The company also provides tool and equipment rentals for its customers.

Lancaster Colony Corporation

Lancaster Colony is a manufacturer and marketer of food products for the retail and foodservice channels. Within its Retail segment, the primary food products the company manufactures and sells include: frozen garlic breads; frozen Parkerhouse style yeast rolls and dinner rolls; salad dressings; vegetable dips and fruit dips; flatbread wraps and pizza crusts; sprouted grain bakery products; salad dressings; and croutons and salad toppings. Within its Foodservice segment, the primary food products the company manufactures and sells include: salad dressings; frozen garlic breads; frozen Parkerhouse style yeast rolls and dinner rolls; and frozen pasta.

Leggett & Platt Incorporated

Leggett & Platt designs and produces engineered components and products in homes and automobiles. The company's segments are: Residential Products, which supplies components and machinery used by bedding manufacturers in the production and assembly of their finished products, as well as producing private-label finished mattresses for bedding brands and retailers; Industrial Products, which supplies high-carbon drawn steel wire; Furniture Products, which supplies components used by home and work furniture manufacturers; and Specialized Products, which designs, manufactures and sells products including automotive seating components, tubing and fabricated assemblies, and hydraulic cylinders.

Lowe's Companies Inc.

Lowe's Companies is a home improvement retailer. The company provides home improvement products in lumber and building materials, appliances, seasonal and outdoor living, tools and hardware, fashion fixtures, rough plumbing and electrical, paint, millwork, lawn and garden, flooring, and kitchens categories. The company provides installation services through independent contractors in product categories, including appliances, flooring, kitchens, lumber and building materials, and millwork. The company also provides extended protection plans for various products within the appliances, kitchens, fashion fixtures, millwork, rough plumbing and electrical, seasonal and outdoor living, and tools and hardware categories.

Mohawk Industries Inc.

Mohawk Industries is a global flooring manufacturer for residential and commercial spaces around the world. The company has three segments: Global Ceramic, which designs, manufactures, sources, distributes and markets a line of ceramic, porcelain and natural stone tile products used for floor and wall applications; Flooring North America, which designs, manufactures, sources and distributes broadloom carpet, carpet tile, rugs and mats, carpet pad, laminate, medium-density fiberboard, luxury vinyl tile (LVT) and sheet vinyl; and Flooring Rest of the World, which designs, manufactures, sources and distributes laminate, LVT and sheet vinyl, wood flooring, broadloom carpet and carpet tile collections.

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.

Monarch Casino & Resort, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Golden Road Motor Inn, Inc., owns and operates the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, a hotel/casino facility in Reno, NV (the Atlantis). The company's wholly owned subsidiaries, High Desert Sunshine, Inc., Golden East, Inc. and Golden North, Inc., each owns separate parcels of land located proximate to the Atlantis. The Atlantis includes casino space, guest rooms and suites, food outlets, espresso and pastry bars, a health spa and salon with an enclosed pool, retail outlets providing clothing and gift shop merchandise, a family entertainment center, and banquet, convention and meeting room space.

Monro Inc

Monro is engaged principally in providing automotive undercar repair and tire sales and services. The company provides a range of services on passenger cars, light trucks and vans for brakes; mufflers and exhaust systems; and steering, drive train, suspension and wheel alignment. The company also provides other products and services, including tires and routine maintenance services, including state inspections. The company focuses on the repair and replacement of parts which periodically replaced as they wear out. The company does not perform under-the-hood repair services except for oil change services, various flush and fill services and some minor tune-up services.

Netflix Inc.

Netflix is engaged in subscription streaming entertainment service including TV series, documentaries and feature films across a variety of genres and languages. Members can watch as much as they want, anytime, anywhere, on any internet-connected screen. Members can play, pause and resume watching, without commercials. Additionally, several members in the United States subscribe to the company's DVD-by-mail service. The company improves its streaming content with a focus on a programming mix of content. The company's members can download a selection of titles for offline viewing. The company operates its business as a global operating segment.

OFG Bancorp

OFG Bancorp is a financial holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides banking and financial services to its clients through a range of banking and financial solutions. The company's business segments include: Banking, which provides deposits and commercial, consumer and mortgage loans, and mortgage banking activities; Wealth Management, which include financial planning, money management, investment banking, brokerage services, insurance sales activity, corporate and individual trust, and retirement services, as well as retirement plan administration services; and Treasury, which encompasses all of the company's asset/liability management activities.

Penn National Gaming Inc.

Penn National Gaming is an owner and manager of gaming and racing facilities and video gaming terminal operations with a focus on slot machine entertainment. In addition, the company operates an interactive gaming division through its subsidiary, Penn Interactive Ventures, LLC. The company's segment's properties include Ameristar East Chicago, Hollywood Casino Bangor, 1st Jackpot Casino, Ameristar Vicksburg, Boomtown Biloxi, Boomtown Bossier City, Ameristar Black Hawk, Cactus Petes and Horseshu, Ameristar Council Bluffs, Argosy Casino Alton, Argosy Casino Riverside, Freehold Raceway, Retama Park Racetrack, Sam Houston Race Park and Valley Race Park, and Sanford-Orlando Kennel Club, among others.

Renewable Energy Group Inc.

Renewable Energy Group is a biofuels producer with a nationwide distribution and logistics system. The company participates in each aspect of biomass-based diesel production, from acquiring feedstock, managing construction and operating biomass-based diesel production facilities, to marketing, selling and distributing biomass-based diesel and its co-products. To do this, the company utilizes this nationwide production, distribution and logistics system to focus on converting natural fats, oils and greases into biofuels. The company owns and operates a network of biorefineries, which are located in the United States and Germany.

Selective Insurance Group Inc.

Selective Insurance Group has four segments: Standard Commercial Lines, which is comprised of property and casualty insurance products and services provided in the standard marketplace to commercial enterprises; Standard Personal Lines, which is comprised of property and casualty insurance products and services provided to individuals acquiring coverage in the standard marketplace; Excess and Surplus Lines, which is comprised of insurance products and services provided to customers who are unable to obtain coverage in the standard marketplace; and Investments, which invests the premiums collected by the company's insurance operations and amounts generated through its capital management strategies.

SPS Commerce Inc.

SPS Commerce is a provider of cloud-based supply chain management services for retailers, suppliers, grocers, distributors and logistics firms to orchestrate the management of item data, order fulfillment, inventory control and sales analytics across various channels. The services provided by the company eliminates the need for on-premise software and support staff by taking on that capability on the customer's behalf. The following services are enabled through the SPS Commerce cloud services Platform: Trading Partner Community, Trading Partner Fulfillment, Trading Partner Assortment, Trading Partner Analytics, Trading Partner Sourcing, and Other Trading Partner Solutions.

Tractor Supply Company

Tractor Supply is a rural lifestyle retailer. The company is focused on supplying the needs of recreational farmers, ranchers and all those who enjoy living the rural lifestyle, as well as tradesmen and small businesses. The company operates retail stores under the names Tractor Supply Company, Del's Feed & Farm Supply, and Petsense and operates websites under the names TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com. The company's selection of merchandise is comprised of the following main product categories: equine, livestock, pet, and small animal products; hardware, truck, towing, and tool products; seasonal products; work/recreational clothing and footwear; and maintenance products for agricultural and rural use.

Ulta Beauty Inc

Ulta Beauty is a beauty retailer that provides cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. The company's stores are primarily located in locations such as power centers. The company provides a range of services in all of its stores. The company's stores, website, and mobile applications provides more than 25,000 products from approximately 500 beauty brands across all categories and price points, including its own private label, the Ulta Beauty Collection. The company provides a portfolio across five primary categories: cosmetics; skincare, bath and fragrance; haircare products and styling tools; salon services; and other, which includes nail products and accessories.

Universal Insurance Holdings Inc.

Universal Insurance Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides property and casualty insurance and insurance services. The company's products and services include: Insurance Products, which provide various types of personal residential insurance such as homeowners, renters/tenants, condo unit owners, and dwelling/fire; Risk Management, in which its subsidiary, Evolution Risk Advisors, Inc., advises on actuarial issues, oversees distribution, administers claims payments, performs policy administration and underwriting, and assists with reinsurance negotiations; and Distribution, which provides policies through its direct-to-consumer online distribution platforms.

World Fuel Services Corporation

World Fuel Services is a global fuel services company. The company's segments are: aviation, which provides global aviation fuel supply and service solutions to main commercial airlines, second and third-tier airlines, cargo carriers, regional and low-cost carriers, airports, fixed based operators, corporate fleets, fractional operators and private aircraft; land, which provides fuel, heating oil, propane, natural gas, lubricants and related products, advisory and fulfillment solutions, transaction management services, and transportation logistics for its product deliveries; and marine, which markets fuel, lubricants and related products and services to a base of marine customers.

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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