Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 46.65 For Business Accounts Only

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Bear Market Rally Continues

The market remains in bear market rally mode, and our price target remains the 200-day MAs on the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (IWM), as discussed in last week's Compass (Oct. 25). Longer-term, this is still a bear market until the S&P 500 and IWM can break above their respective YTD downtrends/200-day MAs, and markets could easily test their lows again. With that said, there are signs that suggest breakouts above YTD downtrends/200-day MAs could be coming. Catalysts include the FOMC announcement on Wednesday, followed by midterm elections on Nov. 8.

Major Bottom in Place? While we would like to see the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (IWM) break above their respective YTD downtrends/200-day MAs in order to declare the bear market over, there are some early signals that suggest it could happen, including: (1) Financials (XLF) are already reversing their YTD downtrend, (2) Health Care (XLV) is reversing its 6.5-month downtrend, (3) the Dow Jones Industrial Average is
Underlyings
AECOM

AECOM designs, builds, finances and operates infrastructure assets for governments, businesses and organizations. The company provides: planning, consulting, architectural and engineering design services to commercial and government clients in transportation, facilities, environmental, energy, water and government markets; construction services, including building construction and energy, infrastructure and industrial construction; as well as program and facilities management and maintenance, training, logistics, consulting, technical assistance, and systems integration and information technology services, for agencies of the United States government and for other national governments.

AGCO Corporation

AGCO is a manufacturer and distributor of agricultural equipment and related replacement parts. The company sells a range of agricultural equipment, including tractors, combines, self-propelled sprayers, hay tools, forage equipment, seeding and tillage equipment, implements, and grain storage and protein production systems. The company's products are used in the agricultural equipment industry and are marketed under the Challenger?, Fendt?, GSI?, Massey Ferguson? and Valtra? brands. The company distributes its products through independent dealers and distributors. In addition, the company provides retail and wholesale financing through its finance joint ventures with Cooperatieve Centrale Raiffeisen-Boerenleenbank B.A.

Baker Hughes Company Class A

Baker Hughes is an energy technology company. The company's segments are: Oilfield Services, which provides products and services for onshore and offshore operations ranging from drilling, evaluation, completion, production, and intervention; Oilfield Equipment, which provides products and services for the subsea, offshore surface and onshore operating environments; Turbomachinery and Processing Solutions, which provides equipment and related services for mechanical-drive, compression and power-generation applications; and Digital Solutions, which includes condition monitoring, industrial controls, non-destructive technologies, measurement, sensing, and pipeline solutions.

Cactus Inc

Cactus is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is primarily engaged in the design, manufacture and sale of wellhead and pressure control equipment. In addition, the company maintains a fleet of frac valves and ancillary equipment for short-term rental. The company's products are sold and rented principally for onshore unconventional oil and gas wells and are utilized during the drilling, completion and production phases of its customers' wells. The company also provides field services for all of its products and rental items to assist with the installation, maintenance and handling of the wellhead and pressure control equipment as well as provides repair and refurbishment services.

ChampionX Corporation

Chart Industries Inc.

Chart Industries is a manufacturer of equipment servicing multiple market applications in energy and industrial gas. The company's product portfolio is used throughout the liquid gas supply chain in the production, storage, distribution and end-use of atmospheric, hydrocarbon, and industrial gases. The company's equipment and systems are primarily used to cool gases often to cryogenic liquid temperatures and then to transport and store them as liquids. The company's products include vacuum insulated containment vessels, heat exchangers, cold boxes, liquefaction process units, other cryogenic components, gas processing equipment, ambient temperature fans and after market services.

Deere & Company

Deere & Co. operates the following segments: Agriculture and Turf, which manufactures and distributes a line of agriculture and turf equipment and related service parts, including utility tractors, tractor loaders, combines, cotton pickers, cotton strippers, and sugarcane harvesters; Construction and Forestry, which manufactures and distributes a range of machines and service parts used in construction, earthmoving, road building, material handling and timber harvesting, including backhoe loaders and crawler dozers and loaders; and Financial Services, which finances sales and leases by the company's dealers of new and used agriculture and turf equipment and construction and forestry equipment.

Dycom Industries Inc.

Dycom Industries is a provider of specialty contracting services. The company supplies telecommunications providers with a portfolio of specialty services, including program management; planning; engineering and design; aerial, underground, and wireless construction; maintenance; and fulfillment services for telecommunications providers. Additionally, the company provides underground facility locating services for various utilities, including telecommunications providers, and other construction and maintenance services for electric and gas utilities. The company supplies the labor, tools, and equipment necessary to provide these services to its customers.

EMCOR GROUP

EMCOR Group is an electrical and mechanical construction and facilities services firm. In addition, the company provides building services and industrial services. The company's services are provided to its customers through its operating subsidiaries and joint venture entities. The company engages in providing construction services relating to electrical and mechanical systems in various types of facilities and in providing various services relating to the operation, maintenance and management of facilities. The company also provides its construction services indirectly by acting as a subcontractor to general contractors, systems suppliers, construction managers, developers, property managers and other subcontractors.

Fluor Corporation

Fluor is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides engineering, procurement, construction, fabrication and modularization, operations, maintenance and asset integrity, as well as project management services. The company serves a set of industries including oil and gas, chemicals and petrochemicals, mining and metals, transportation, power, life sciences and manufacturing. The company is also a service provider to the U.S. federal government and governments abroad; and it performs operations, maintenance and asset integrity activities for industrial clients. The company has four segments: Energy & Chemicals; Mining, Industrial, Infrastructure & Power; Diversified Services; and Government.

Frank's International NV

Halliburton Company

Halliburton assists its customers throughout the lifecycle of the reservoir, from locating hydrocarbons and managing geological data, to drilling and formation evaluation, well construction and completion and optimizing production throughout the life of the asset. The company's segments are: Completion and Production, which delivers cementing, stimulation, intervention, pressure control, specialty chemicals, artificial lift and completion products and services; and Drilling and Evaluation, which provides field and reservoir modeling, drilling, evaluation and wellbore placement solutions that enable customers to model, measure, drill and optimize their well construction activities.

Lindsay Corporation

Lindsay is engaged in providing a variety of proprietary water management and road infrastructure products and services. The company has operations which are categorized into two key reporting segments, Irrigation and Infrastructure. The company's irrigation segment includes the manufacture and marketing of center pivot, lateral move, hose reel irrigation systems, and repair and replacement parts for its irrigation systems and controls. The company's infrastructure segment includes the manufacture and marketing of moveable barriers, specialty barriers, crash cushions and end terminals, road marking and road safety equipment, large diameter steel tubing, and railroad signals and structures.

NexTier Oilfield Solutions Inc.

NexTier Oilfield Solutions is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is engaged as a land oilfield focused service company, with a set of well completion and production services across active basins. The company provides its services through its operating subsidiaries to exploration and production customers. Also, the company provides its services in several active basins in the United States, including the Permian, the Marcellus Shale/Utica, the Eagle Ford and the Bakken/Rockies. The company is organized into two segments: Completion Services, which includes Hydraulic Fracturing and Wireline Technologies; and Well Construction and Intervention Services, which includes Cementing and Coiled Tubing.

Nine Energy Service Inc

Nine Energy Service is a completion services provider that provides services integral to the completion of unconventional wells through a range of tools and methodologies. The company's primary service offerings and deployment methods include: Cementing Services, which consist of blending cement and water with various solid and liquid additives to create a cement slurry; Completion Tools, which provides downhole solutions and technology used for multistage completions; Wireline Services, which uses a wireline unit equipped with a spool of wireline that is unwound and lowered into oil and gas wells to convey tools; and Coiled Tubing Services, which perform wellbore intervention operations.

ProPetro Holding Corp.

ProPetro Holding is a holding company. Through its subsidiary, the company is engaged as an oilfield services company providing hydraulic fracturing and other services to upstream oil and gas companies engaged in the exploration and production of North American unconventional oil and natural gas resources. The company's operations are primarily focused in the Permian Basin. In addition to its core hydraulic fracturing operations, the company provides complementary well completion and production services, including cementing, coiled tubing, flowback services and drilling. The company conducts its business through five segments: hydraulic fracturing (inclusive of acidizing), cementing, coil tubing, flowback and drilling.

Quanta Services Inc.

Quanta Services is a provider of contracting services, delivering infrastructure solutions for the electric power, energy and communications industries in the United States, Canada, Australia, Latin America and select other international markets. The company has two segments: Electric Power Infrastructure Services, which provides network solutions to customers in the electric power industry and services that support the development of renewable energy generation; and Pipeline and Industrial Infrastructure Services, which provides infrastructure solutions to customers involved in the development, transportation, distribution, storage and processing of natural gas, oil and other products.

Rare Element Resources

Select Energy Services Inc. Class A

Select Energy Services is a provider of water-management solutions. The company's segments are: Water Services, which provides the services to support new oil and gas well completions as well as ongoing production over the life of the well, including water transfer, flowback and well testing; Water Infrastructure, which develops, builds and operates infrastructure solutions to support both new oil and gas well development; and Oilfield Chemicals, which develops, manufactures and provides a suite of completion and production chemical products, water treatment solutions and services utilized in hydraulic fracturing, stimulation, cementing and related well completion and production processes.

Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure

Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a provider of supply chain management and logistics solutions for the oil and natural gas industry. The company's offerings include: system rental, which manufactures and rents equipment to manage the delivery, handling and storage of proppant and chemicals at the well site; field services, which provides trained personnel to maintain and support its systems, train its customers to operate the systems and assist in the transportation of its systems; and transloading services, which provides manifest and unit-train transloading services, as well as provides forward staging storage of regional and local proppant.

TETRA Technologies Inc.

TETRA Technologies is an oil and gas services company, focused on completion fluids and associated products and services, water management, frac flowback, production well testing and offshore rig cooling services, and compression services and equipment. The company has three divisions: Completion Fluids & Products, which manufactures and markets clear brine fluids, additives, and associated products and services as well as markets liquid and dry calcium chloride products; Water and Flowback Services, which provides water management services; Compression, which provides compression services and equipment for natural gas and oil production, gathering, transportation, processing, and storage.

Titan Machinery

Titan Machinery owns and operates a network of agricultural and construction equipment stores. The company has three segments: Agriculture, Construction and International, within which the company engages in: new and used equipment sales; parts sales; equipment repair and maintenance services; and equipment rental and other activities. The agricultural equipment the company sells and services includes machinery and attachments for uses ranging from farming to home and garden use. The construction equipment the company sells and services includes heavy construction machinery, light industrial machinery, road and highway construction machinery, mining, energy, and forestry operations equipment.

Valmont Industries Inc.

Valmont Industries is a global producer of fabricated metal products. The company's segments are: Engineered Support Structures, which engineers and manufactures steel, aluminum, and composite poles and structures to which lighting and traffic control fixtures are attached for a range of outdoor lighting applications; Utility Support Structures, which engineers and manufactures tapered steel, pre-stressed concrete and hybrid structures, and steel lattice structures; Coatings, which provides the following services, including hot-dipped galvanizing, anodizing, powder coating, and e-coating; and Irrigation, which manufactures and distributes mechanical irrigation equipment and related service parts.

Weatherford International Plc

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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