Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Bloomberg Commodity Index Breaks 2.5-Year UptrendIn last week's U.S. Macro Vision report, we noted how breaks below 3900 on the S&P 500 and $293 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) opened the door for a test of YTD lows – or worse. We are now getting a test of the YTD lows of 3636 on the S&P 500 and $269 on QQQ; with so many indexes and key Sectors currently oversold and testing support, we could certainly see a bounce/pause at current levels. Regardless, we will need to see reversals of the 6-week downtrends on SPX and QQQ, in order to confirm that a tradable rally is underway. Until that happens, we prefer to be defensive.
Commodities Likely Topping While U.S. Dollar (DXY) and 10-Yr Treasury Yield Continue Higher. We have discussed for months how we need to see breakdowns from topping patterns in at least two of these three (DXY, commodities/crude oil, and 10-yr Treasury yield) for the market indexes to establish a reliable bottom. Broad commodities, as measured by the Bloomberg Commodity ind
Aflac, through its subsidiaries, provides financial protection to people worldwide. The company's principal business is supplemental health and life insurance products. The company's insurance business consists of two reporting segments: Aflac Japan, which are designed to help consumers pay for medical and nonmedical costs that are not reimbursed under Japan's national health insurance system; and Aflac U.S., which the insurance products to provide supplemental coverage for people who already have primary medical or primary insurance coverage. The Aflac Japan's insurance products includes of cancer insurance, and medical insurance; and Aflac U.S. products includes of accident insurance, among others.
AMN Healthcare Services provides talent solutions for the healthcare sector. The company's talent solutions provides management, staffing, recruitment, technology, analytics, and related services to manage healthcare workforce needs. The company provides its healthcare personnel, from nurses, doctors, and allied health personnel to healthcare leaders and executives. The company's workforce solutions and staffing services include: travel nurse staffing; rapid response nurse staffing and labor disruption services; local, or per diem, staffing; locum tenens staffing; allied staffing; physician permanent placement services; interim leadership staffing and executive search services; and recruitment process outsourcing.
Cigna is a global health service organization. The company's segments are: Integrated Medical, which includes its employer-sponsored medical coverage and Medicare offerings for seniors and individual insurance offerings to non-seniors both on and off the public health insurance exchanges; Health Services, which consists of the pharmacy benefit management and certain health management services; International Markets, which provides a range of medical and supplemental health, life, and accident benefits to individuals and employers; and Group Disability and Other, which includes its commercial long- and short-term disability products, and its term life group insurance products.
Cross Country Healthcare provides healthcare staffing, recruiting and workforce solutions. The company's business consists of three business segments: Nurse and Allied Staffing, which provides staffing, recruiting, and workforce solutions including temporary and permanent placement of travel and local branch-based nurse and allied personnel; Physician Staffing, which provides physicians, certified registered nurse anesthetists, nurse practitioners and physician assistants under its Medical Doctor Associates brand; and Other Human Capital Management Services, which is comprised of retained and contingent search services for physicians, healthcare executives, and other healthcare personnel.
Globe Life is an insurance holding company. Through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, the company provides a variety of life and supplemental health insurance products and annuities to customers. The company's segments are: life insurance, which writes a variety of nonparticipating ordinary life insurance products including whole-life, term life, and other life insurance; health insurance, which provides Medicare Supplement and limited-benefit supplemental health insurance products that include primarily critical illness and accident plans; annuities, which include single-premium and flexible-premium deferred annuities; and investments, which consist primarily of investment-grade securities.
Humana is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a health and well-being company. The company manages its business with three segments: Retail, which consists of products sold on a retail basis to individuals including medical and supplemental benefit plans, such as Medicare and state-based Medicaid Contracts; Group and Specialty, which consists of employer group commercial fully-insured medical and specialty health insurance benefits, including dental, vision and life insurance benefits, as well as administrative services only; and Healthcare Services, which includes pharmacy solutions, provider services, clinical care services, and predictive modeling and informatics services
Principal Financial Group is an insurance holding company, engaged in investment management. The company provides businesses, individuals and institutional clients a range of financial products and services, including retirement, asset management and insurance through its financial services companies. The company provides long-term investment strategies to institutional, retirement, high net worth and retail clients by providing a range of capabilities including equity, fixed income, real estate and other alternative investments, as well as fund offerings. The company's segments include: retirement and income solutions; principal global investors; principal international; and United States insurance solutions.
UnitedHealth Group is a health care company. The company has four reportable segments across its two business platforms, UnitedHealthcare and Optum: UnitedHealthcare, which provides health care benefits to an array of customers and markets through its UnitedHealthcare Employer & Individual, UnitedHealthcare Medicare & Retirement, UnitedHealthcare Community & State and UnitedHealthcare Global; OptumHealth, which serves the physical, emotional and health-related financial needs of individuals; OptumInsight, which provides services, technology and health care knowledge to main participants in the health care industry; and OptumRx, which provides pharmacy care services and programs.
Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.
Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.
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