Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Bull Flag Breakout For GoldWe believe the weight of the evidence suggests a mixed, but overall constructive market, and we continue to favor buying pullbacks to the 4000-4045 range on the S&P 500.
S&P 500. The S&P 500 has pulled back after being extended as it ran into resistance at the megaphone pattern. We believe pullbacks should be treated as buying opportunities and we are constructive as long as the S&P 500 is above major 4000-4045 support. Continue to add exposure to cyclical value areas on pullbacks (Energy, Financials, Materials, Transportation, and Manufacturing).
Bullish Trends: Gold & WTI Crude Oil. Bullish commodity prices have been a key part of our overall constructive outlook for the broad market (improving demand) and have also helped build our bullish case for the Materials and Energy Sectors. WTI crude oil is on the cusp of a breakout above the $67 2-year resistance level, and we expect a breakout shortly -- buy Energy stocks. Gold has been lagging within the commodity space while forming a massive 9-month bull flag pattern. Still, gold now appears to finally be breaking out which tells us gold prices are headed higher -- and we want to be long the gold miners (GDX, RING)... see chart below and page 3.
Mixed Market Environment. Primary reasons we see a mixed market environment include the fact that defensives (Staples, REITs, large-cap pharma, gold) are no longer underperforming, and small- and micro-caps are no longer outperforming. Broadly speaking, this leads us to be less bullish on the broad market, but we continue to see many attractive opportunities... see charts below and page 4.
US Dollar, Emerging Market Equities. The US dollar (DXY) continues to trend lower, a bullish risk-on signal for global equities. MSCI EM (EEM) continues to hold above major $52 base support, another constructive signal for risk sentiment... see page 4.
Agnico-Eagle Mines is a gold mining company with mining operations in Canada, Mexico and Finland. Co. earns a proportion of its revenues from the production and sale of gold in both dore bar and concentrate form. The remainder of revenue and cash flow is generated by the production and sale of byproduct metals. The revenue from byproduct metals is mainly generated by production at the LaRonde mine in Canada (silver, zinc, copper and lead) and the Pinos Altos mine in Mexico (silver).
Balchem is engaged in the development, manufacture and marketing of specialty performance ingredients and products for the food, nutritional, feed, pharmaceutical, medical sterilization and industrial markets. The company has four reportable segments: Human Nutrition & Health, which provides human grade choline nutrients and mineral amino acid chelated products for nutrition wellness applications; Animal Nutrition & Health, which provides nutritional products in addition to basic choline chloride; Specialty Products, which provides ethylene oxide and propylene oxide; and Industrial Products, which provides certain derivatives of choline chloride, as well as manufactures and sells methylamines.
Endeavour Silver is engaged in silver mining in Mexico and related activities including acquisition, exploration, development, extraction, processing, refining and reclamation. Co. is also engaged in exploration activities in Chile. Co. has three operating mining segments, GuanacevA, Bolanitos and El Cubo, which are located in Mexico as well as Exploration and Corporate segments. The Exploration segment consists of projects in the exploration and evaluation phases in Mexico and Chile.
Franco-Nevada is a gold-focused royalty and stream company with additional interests in silver, platinum group metals, oil and gas and other resource assets located in the U.S., Canada, Mexico, Peru, Chile and Africa. Co.'s portfolio includes 340 mineral and oil and gas assets covering properties at various stages from production to early stage exploration.
Kinross Gold is engaged in the mining and processing of gold and, as a by-product, silver ore and the exploration for, and the acquisition of, gold bearing properties in the Americas, the Russian Federation, West Africa and worldwide. As of Dec 31 2013, Co.'s proven mineral reserves for gold and silver were 1,122 ounces and 1,179 ounces respectively.7,883 7,883 7,883
Kirkland Lake Gold is a Canadian gold mining and exploration company with three producing mines in Australia: the Fosterville Gold Mine and the Stawell Gold Mine in the State of Victoria and the Cosmo Gold Mine in the Northern Territory. Co. also has a portfolio of development opportunities on its significant land package, including the Big Hill Project at Stawell and various projects in the Northern Territories. In addition, Co. owns title to a mining lease located in north-central Newfoundland, Canada.
Newmont is primarily a gold producer with operations and/or assets in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Dominican Republic, Peru, Suriname, Argentina, Chile, Australia and Ghana. The company is also engaged in the production of copper, silver, lead and zinc. The company's operations are organized in five geographic regions; North America, South America, Australia, Africa and Nevada.
Northern Technologies International develops and markets proprietary products and services either directly or via a network of subsidiaries, joint ventures, independent distributors, and agents. The company's primary business is corrosion prevention marketed mainly under the ZERUST? brand. The company sells its proprietary ZERUST? products and services to the automotive, electronics, electrical, mechanical, military and retail consumer markets, and the oil and gas industry. The company also markets and sells a portfolio of bio-based and certified compostable (fully biodegradable) polymer resin compounds and finished products under the Natur-Tec? brand.
Taseko Mines is engaged in the exploration, acquisition, development and sale of gold copper, molybdenum, niobium and other related mines within the province of British Columbia, Canada.
Univar Solutions is a chemical and ingredient distributor and provider of services. The company purchases chemicals and ingredients from chemical producers worldwide to warehouse, repackage, blend, dilute, transport and sell those chemicals to various customer locations across various countries. The company's business is organized and managed in four geographical segments: Univar Solutions USA, Univar Solutions Canada, Univar Solutions Europe and the Middle East and Africa, and Univar Solutions Latin America, which includes developing businesses in Latin America (including Brazil and Mexico) and the Asia-Pacific region.
Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.
Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Browse all ResearchPool reportsReport is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.