Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 46.69 For Business Accounts Only

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Underlyings
A. O. Smith Corporation

A.O. Smith is comprised of North America and Rest of World reporting segments. The company's Rest of World segment is primarily comprised of China, Europe and India. Both segments manufacture and market lines of residential and commercial gas and electric water heaters, boilers, tanks and water treatment products. Both segments primarily manufacture and market in their respective regions of the world. The company's Rest of World segment also manufactures and markets in-home air purification products in China. The company serves residential and commercial end markets in North America with a range of products including water heaters, boilers, water treatment products, and other.

Alcoa Corporation

Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company comprised of bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production (smelting, casting, and rolling), and energy generation. Through direct and indirect ownership, the company has 30 operating locations in nine countries around the world, situated primarily in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, and United States.

AutoNation Inc.

AutoNation, through its subsidiaries, is an automotive retailer. The company provides a range of automotive products and services, including new vehicles, used vehicles, parts and service, which includes automotive repair and maintenance services as well as wholesale parts and collision businesses, and automotive finance and insurance products, which include vehicle service and other protection products, and the arranging of financing for vehicle purchases through third-party finance sources. The company owns and operates new vehicle franchises from stores located in the United States, in main metropolitan markets in the Sunbelt region. The company has three segments: Domestic, Import, and Premium Luxury.

Avangrid Inc.

Avangrid is an energy services holding company engaged in the regulated energy distribution business through its subsidiary, Avangrid Networks, Inc. (Networks), and in the renewable energy generation business through its subsidiary, Avangrid Renewables Holding, Inc. (ARHI). ARHI in turn holds subsidiaries including Avangrid Renewables, LLC (Renewables). Networks owns and operates its regulated utility businesses through its subsidiaries, including electric transmission and distribution and natural gas distribution, transportation and sales. Renewables operates a portfolio of renewable energy generation facilities primarily using onshore wind power and also solar, biomass and thermal power.

Boise Cascade Co.

Boise Cascade is a wood products manufacturer and building materials distributor. The company's line of products is used primarily in new residential construction, residential repair-and-remodeling projects, light commercial construction, and industrial applications. The company has two reportable segments. The company's Wood Products segment manufactures laminated veneer lumber, I-joists, and laminated beams, which are collectively referred to as engineered wood products (EWP). The company's Building Materials Distribution segment sells a line of building materials, including oriented strand board, plywood, lumber, general line items such as siding, composite decking, metal products, insulation, and roofing, and EWP.

Builders FirstSource Inc.

Builders FirstSource, through its subsidiaries is a supplier and manufacturer of building materials, manufactured components and construction services to homebuilders, sub-contractors, remodelers and consumers. The company provides a solution to its customers providing manufacturing, supply and installation of structural and related building products. The company's manufactured products include factory-built roof and floor trusses, and wall panels and stairs. The company also assembles interior and exterior doors into pre-hung units. Additionally, the company supplies its customers with building products not manufactured by the company, such as dimensional lumber and lumber sheet goods and various window, door and millwork lines.

Cadence Bancorporation

Cadence is a bank holding company. The company is engaged in commercial lending to middle-market customers and provide a range of commercial loans to middle-market commercial businesses, individuals and business owners. The company's loan portfolio includes commercial and industrial loans, residential real estate loans, commercial real estate loans and other consumer loans. The company also provides its customers a variety of deposit products, including checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts and other deposit accounts, through multiple channels, including its network of full-service branches, drive-thru branches, ATMs, ITMs, and its online, mobile and telephone banking platforms.

CBRE GROUP INC

CBRE Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a commercial real estate services and investment firm. The company's segments include: Advisory Services, which provides a range of services globally, including property leasing and capital markets; Global Workplace Solutions, which provides a suite of integrated, contractually-based outsourcing services globally for occupiers of real estate; and Real Estate Investments, which is comprised of investment management services provided globally, development services in the United States and United Kingdom and a service designed to help property occupiers and owners meet the demand for flexible office space solutions on a global basis.

Central Garden & Pet Co A

Central Garden & Pet is a producer and distributor of products for the lawn and garden and pet supplies markets. The company has two segments, Pet and Garden. In Pet segment, the company is a marketer and producer of pet supplies. The company's principal pet supplies categories are dog and cat, aquatics, bird and small animal, wild bird feed, live fish and small animal, and animal health products. In Garden segment, the company markets and produces a range of brands, including Pennington, The Rebels, AMDRO, Lilly Miller, Ironite, Sevin, and Over-N-Out. The company's principal lawn and garden product lines are grass seed, wild bird feed, insect control products, lawn and garden care products, and decorative outdoor patio products.

Columbia Banking System Inc.

Columbia Banking System is a bank holding company. Through its wholly owned banking subsidiary, Columbia State Bank, the company provides a range of banking services to small and medium-sized businesses, personnel and individuals throughout Washington, Oregon and Idaho. The company provides its personal banking customers a range of account products including noninterest and interest-bearing checking, savings, money market and certificate of deposit accounts. Through its Columbia Trust Company subsidiary, the company provides a range of fiduciary, investment and administrative trust services, coupled with local, personalized attention to the requirements of each trust.

Comerica Incorporated

Comerica is a financial holding company, engaged in lending to and accepting deposits from businesses and individuals. The company's segments are: Business Bank, which provides commercial loans and lines of credit, deposits, cash management, capital market products, international trade finance, letters of credit, foreign exchange management services and loan syndication services; Retail Bank, which provides consumer lending, consumer deposit gathering and mortgage loan origination; and Wealth Management, which provides products and services consisting of fiduciary services, private banking, retirement services, investment management and advisory services, investment banking and brokerage services.

Commercial Metals Company

Commercial Metals, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, recycles and markets steel and metal products, related materials and services. The company has four reportable segments: Americas Recycling, which processes scrap metals for use as a raw material by the company and other manufacturers of new metal products; Americas Mills, which operates electric arc furnace (EAF) mini mills, EAF micro mills, rerolling mill, scrap metal shredders, and scrap metal processing facilities; Americas Fabrication, which includes warehouses that sell or rent products for the installation of concrete; and International Mill, which consists of an EAF mini mill, recycling and fabrication operations located in Poland.

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.

Cooper-Standard Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a manufacturer of sealing, fuel and brake delivery, and fluid transfer systems. The company's sealing systems protect vehicle interiors from weather, dust and noise intrusion. In addition, the company's fuel and brake delivery systems sense, deliver and control fluids to fuel and brake systems. The company's fluid transfer systems sense, deliver and control fluid and vapors for powertrain and HVAC operation. The company has four operating segments: North America, Europe, Asia Pacific and South America.

Cree Inc.

Cree is a provider of bandgap semiconductor products for power and radio-frequency (RF) applications and lighting-class light emitting diode (LED) products. The company's products are used for applications such as transportation, power supplies, inverters, wireless systems, indoor and outdoor lighting, electronic signs and signals and video displays. The company operates in two segments: Wolfspeed, which consists of silicon carbide and gallium nitride (GaN) materials, power devices and RF devices based on silicon and bandgap semiconductor materials; and LED Products, which consists of LED chips and LED components. The company's LED chip products include blue and green LED chips based on GaN and related materials.

E*TRADE Financial Corporation

E*TRADE Financial is a financial services company that provides brokerage and related products and services. The company also provides investor-focused banking products, primarily sweep deposits, to investors. The company's primary brokerage business is organized into four product areas: Trading, Investing, Corporate Services, and Advisor Services. Additionally, the company provides banking and cash management capabilities, including deposit accounts insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, which are fully integrated into customer brokerage accounts. Among other features, checking account customers have access to debit cards with ATM fee refunds, online and mobile bill pay, and mobile check deposits.

Gentex Corporation

Gentex designs and manufactures automatic-dimming rearview mirrors and electronics for the automotive industry, dimmable aircraft windows for the aviation industry, and commercial smoke alarms and signaling devices for the fire protection industry. The company's key business involves designing, developing, manufacturing and marketing interior and exterior automatic-dimming automotive rearview mirrors that use electrochromic technology to dim in proportion to the amount of headlight glare from trailing vehicle headlamps. The company also designs, develops and manufactures various electronics features to the interior and exterior automotive rearview mirrors as well as interior visors and overhead consoles.

Houlihan Lokey Inc. Class A

Houlihan Lokey is a holding company that operates its business through its subsidiaries. The company is an investment bank engaged in mergers and acquisitions (M&A), financings, financial restructurings and financial advisory services. The company markets its services through its product areas, its industry groups and its Financial Sponsors group, serving its clients in three primary business practices: Corporate Finance (encompassing M&A and capital markets advisory), Financial Restructuring (both out-of-court and in formal bankruptcy or insolvency proceedings) and Financial Advisory Services (including financial services, and a variety of valuation and financial and strategic consulting services).

Instructure Inc.

Instructure provides applications for learning, assessment and performance management. The company enables organizations worldwide to develop, deliver, manage and track engaging academic and employee development programs. The company provides its platform through a Software-as-a-Service business model. The company's cloud-based platform, and applications include: Canvas, which is a learning management platform for K-12 and higher education, and its platform include Canvas LMS, Canvas Network, Canvas Catalog, Canvas Interactive Video and Canvas Assessment; and Bridge, which is an employee development and engagement platform, and its platform include Bridge Learn, Bridge Perform and Bridge Practice.

Lam Research Corporation

Lam Research is a supplier of wafer fabrication equipment and services to the semiconductor industry. The company designs, manufactures, markets, refurbishes, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the fabrication of integrated circuits. The company's customer base includes semiconductor memory, foundry, and integrated device manufacturers that make products such as non-volatile memory, dynamic random-access memory, and logic devices. The company's services include customer service, spares, improvement, and refurbishment of its deposition, etch, and clean products. The company sells its products and services to companies in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan.

Lear Corporation

Lear is a supplier to the automotive industry. The company supplies seating, electrical distribution systems and electronic modules, as well as related sub-systems, components and software, to automotive manufacturers. The company has two segments: Seating, which consists of the design, development, engineering, just-in-time assembly and delivery of seat systems, and the design, development, engineering and manufacture of seat components; and E-Systems, which consists of the design, development, engineering and manufacture of electrical distribution systems, and electronic control modules, electrification products, connectivity products and software solutions for the cloud, vehicles and mobile devices.

Lennar Corporation Class A

Lennar is a homebuilder in the United States, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. The company's homebuilding operations include the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes as well as the purchase, development and sale of residential land directly and through unconsolidated entities in which it has investments. The company operates under the Lennar brand name. The company creates and participates in joint ventures that acquire and develop land for its homebuilding operations, for sale to third parties or for use in the ventures' own homebuilding operations.

Martin Marietta Materials Inc.

Martin Marietta Materials is a natural resource-based building materials company. The company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of quarries, mines and distribution yards. The company also provides cement and downstream products, namely, ready mixed concrete, asphalt and paving services. The company conducts its Building Materials business through three segments: Mid-America Group, Southeast Group and West Group. The Mid-America and Southeast Groups provide aggregates products only. The West Group provides aggregates, cement and downstream products. The company also has the Magnesia Specialties segment, which includes its magnesia-based chemicals and dolomitic lime businesses.

Mellanox Technologies Ltd.

Mellanox Technologies is a fabless semiconductor company that designs, manufactures and sells interconnect products and solutions primarily based on the InfiniBand and Ethernet standards. Co.'s products facilitate data transmission between servers, storage systems, communications infrastructure equipment and other embedded systems. Co.'s products include integrated circuits, adapter cards, switch systems, multi-core and network processors, cables, modules, software, services and accessories as an integral part of a total end-to-end networking solution used in multiple markets, including high-performance computing, cloud, Web 2.0, storage, financial services, and enterprise data center.

Meritor Inc.

Meritor is a global supplier of a range of integrated systems, modules and components to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket for the commercial vehicle, transportation and industrial sectors. The company serves commercial truck, trailer, military, bus and coach, construction, and other industrial OEMs and certain aftermarkets. The company's segments are: Commercial Truck, which supplies drivetrain systems and components, including axles, drivelines and braking and suspension systems; and Aftermarket, Industrial and Trailer, which supplies axles, brakes, drivelines, suspension parts and other replacement parts to commercial vehicle and industrial aftermarket customers.

Microchip Technology Incorporated

Microchip Technology develops, manufactures and sells semiconductor products. The company's product portfolio comprises general purpose and other eight-bit, 16-bit, 32-bit microcontrollers, 32-bit microprocessors, field-programmable gate array products, a range of linear, mixed-signal, power management, thermal management, discrete diodes, Metal Oxide Semiconductor Field Effect Transistors, radio frequency, timing, timing systems, safety, security, wired connectivity and wireless connectivity devices, serial Electrically Erasable Programmable Read Only Memory, Serial Flash memories, Parallel Flash memories, Serial Electrically Erasable Random Access Memory and serial Static Random Access Memory.

Norbord Inc.

Norbord is a producer of wood-based panels with 17 plant locations in the U.S., Europe and Canada.

Nutanix Inc. Class A

Nutanix provides an enterprise cloud platform that consists of software solutions. The company's solution allows its customers to virtualize various clouds - private, public, distributed - into one cloud enabling enterprises to choose the right cloud for the right application. The company's enterprise cloud platform converges compute, virtualization, storage, networking, desktop, governance and security services in one integrated solution. Acropolis is the foundation of the company's enterprise cloud platform. Acropolis is comprised of four foundational components: Virtualization, Enterprise Storage Capabilities, Platform Services, and Networking Services.

Olin Corporation

Olin is a manufacturer and distributor of chemical products and a manufacturer of ammunition. The company's Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment manufactures and sells, among others chlorine and caustic soda, ethylene dichloride and vinyl chloride monomer, methyl chloride, methylene chloride, chloroform, carbon tetrachloride, and perchloroethylene. The Epoxy segment produces and sells a range of epoxy materials, including allyl chloride, epichlorohydrin, liquid epoxy resins, solid epoxy resins and downstream products. The Winchester segment produces and sells sporting ammunition, reloading components, small caliber military ammunition and components, and industrial cartridges.

Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co.

Reliance Steel & Aluminum is a metals service center company. The company provides metals processing services and distributes a line of metal products, including alloy, aluminum, brass, copper, carbon steel, stainless steel, titanium and specialty steel products, to its customers in a range of industries, including general manufacturing, non-residential construction (including infrastructure), transportation (rail, truck trailer and shipbuilding), aerospace and defense, energy (oil and gas), electronics and semiconductor fabrication, and heavy industry (agricultural, construction and mining equipment). The company also services the auto industry, primarily through its toll processing operations.

Renasant Corporation

Renasant is a bank holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides a range of financial, wealth management, fiduciary and insurance services. The company's segments include: Community Banks, which provides business and personal loans, interim construction loans, commercial lending, treasury management services and checking and savings accounts, as well as safe deposit boxes and night depository facilities; Wealth Management, which provides a variety of fiduciary services and administer retirement plans, profit sharing and other employee benefit plans, personal trusts and estates; and Insurance, which provides various lines of commercial and personal insurance through primary carriers.

Seagate Technology PLC

Silicon Laboratories Inc.

Silicon Laboratories is a provider of silicon, software and solutions for the Internet of Things (IoT), Internet infrastructure, industrial automation, consumer and automotive markets. The company provides analog-intensive, mixed-signal solutions for use in a variety of electronic products in a range of applications for the IoT including connected home and security, industrial automation and control, smart metering, smart lighting, commercial building automation, consumer electronics, asset tracking and medical instrumentation. The company provides a range of timing and isolation products for infrastructure applications including clocks and oscillators for networking equipment, and data centers.

State Bank Financial

State Bank Financial is a bank holding company. Through its subsidiary, State Bank and Trust Company, the company provides a range of community banking services to individuals and businesses within its markets. The company's product lines include loans to small and medium-sized businesses, residential and commercial construction and development loans, commercial real estate loans, farmland and agricultural production loans, residential mortgage loans, home equity loans, consumer loans and a variety of commercial and consumer demand, savings and time deposit products. As of Dec 31 2017, the company had total assets of $4.96 billion and total deposits of $4.24 billion.

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc.

Texas Capital Bancshares is a bank holding company. Through its subsidiary, Texas Capital Bank, National Association, the company serves commercial businesses and professionals and entrepreneurs located in Texas as well as operates several lines of business serving a regional or national clientele of commercial borrowers. The company is a lender, with most of its loans held for investment, excluding mortgage finance loans and other national lines of business, being made to businesses headquartered or with operations in Texas. The company's business deposit products include commercial checking accounts, lockbox accounts, cash concentration accounts and other treasury management services, including online banking.

Truist Financial Corporation

BB&T is a financial holding company. Through its bank subsidiary, Branch Banking and Trust Company, the company provides banking services to individuals, businesses and municipalities. The company provides loans and lease financing, including commercial and residential mortgages; permanent commercial real estate financing arrangements; loan servicing for third-party investors; direct consumer finance loans to individuals; credit card lending; automobile financing; and equipment financing. The company also provides other services, including deposits; discount and brokerage, annuities and mutual funds; life insurance, property and casualty insurance, health insurance and commercial general liability insurance.

United Community Banks Inc.

United Community Banks is a bank holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides an array of commercial and consumer banking services, including checking, savings and time deposit accounts, secured and unsecured loans, mortgage loans, payment services, wire transfers, brokerage, investment advisory services and other related financial services to its customers. The company also provides its customers a variety of deposit products, including checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts and other deposit accounts, through multiple channels, including its network of branches and its online, mobile and telephone banking platforms.

Visteon Corporation

Visteon is an automotive supplier that designs, engineers and manufactures cockpit electronics and connected car solutions for vehicle manufacturers. The company's products include: Instrument Clusters, which provides standard analog gauge clusters to 2-D, and 3-D display-based devices; Information Displays, which provides information displays for applications within the cockpit; Audio and Infotainment Systems, which includes Phoenix? display audio and embedded infotainment platform; Telematics Solutions, which provides telematics control unit; Head-Up Displays (HUD), which includes combiner HUD; SmartCore? Domain Controller; and DriveCore? Autonomous Driving Controller.

Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company

Zions Bancorporation N.A.

Zions is a commercial bank. The company provides a range of banking and related services, primarily in Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. The company provides community banking services through its main business lines of small and medium-sized business and corporate banking; commercial and residential development, construction and term lending; retail banking; treasury cash management and related products and services; residential mortgage servicing and lending; trust and wealth management; capital markets activities, including municipal finance advisory and underwriting; and investment activities.

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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