Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 46.65 For Business Accounts Only

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Defensive Areas Starting to Lead

Since late-January/early-February we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that 4165-4200 will cap upside on the S&P 500 in 2023, while also conceding that a reach to 4300-4325 is possible. Considering limited upside in both scenarios, we continue to recommend shifting to defensives. Defensive Sectors including Health Care (XLV), Utilities (RYU, XLU), and Consumer Staples (XLP) are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are precious metals miners (GDX). This helps confirm that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives...
Underlyings
Aon Plc Class A

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

Gallagher (Arthur J.) is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides insurance brokerage, consulting and third party claims settlement and administration services to both domestic and international entities. The company's segments are: brokerage, which is primarily comprised of its retail and wholesale insurance brokerage operations; risk management, which provides contract claim settlement and administration services for enterprises and public entities that choose to self-insure their property/casualty coverages and for underwriting enterprises that choose to outsource their property/casualty claims departments; and corporate, which manages its clean energy and other investments.

Crawford & Co. Cl B

Crawford & Company is an independent provider of claims management services to insurance companies and self-insured entities. Co. has four operating segments: U.S. Services, which serves the U.S. property and casualty insurance company markets; International, which serves the property and casualty insurance company and self-insurance markets outside of the U.S.; Broadspire®, which serves the self-insurance marketplace, primarily in the U.S.; and Garden City Group, which serves the class action, regulatory, mass tort, bankruptcy, and other legal administration markets, primarily in the U.S.

CubeSmart

CubeSmart is a self-administered and self-managed real estate company focused primarily on the ownership, operation, management, acquisition, and development of self-storage properties in the U.S. The company's self-storage facilities provide storage space for its residential and commercial customers. The company's customers rent storage cubes for their use on a month-to-month basis. Additionally, some of the company's stores provide outside storage areas for vehicles and boats. The company's stores are designed to accommodate both residential and commercial customers, with features such as aisles and load-bearing capabilities for truck access.

EXTRA SPACE STORAGE INC

Extra Space Storage is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust, which is engaged in owning, operating, managing, acquiring, developing and redeveloping self-storage properties. Substantially all of the company's business is conducted through Extra Space Storage LP. The company operates in two segments: self-storage operations; and tenant reinsurance. Co's self-storage operations activities include rental operations of wholly-owned stores. Tenant reinsurance activities include the reinsurance of risks relating to the loss of goods stored by tenants in the company's stores.

Fanhua ADS (N Shares)

Life Storage Inc.

Life Storage is a real estate investment trust, that owns its assets and conducts its operations through Life Storage LP (the Operating Partnership) and subsidiaries of the Operating Partnership. The company acquires, owns and manages self-storage properties. The company's self-storage properties in the United States conduct business under the name Life Storage?. The company manages certain properties located in the province of Ontario, Canada, under the Bluebird Self Storage brand. The company's self-storage facilities provide storage space to residential and commercial users. In addition to storage space, various facilities also provide outside storage for automobiles, recreational vehicles and boats.

Public Storage

Public Storage is a real estate investment trust. The company's business activities include: Self-storage Operations, which acquires, develops, owns and operates self-storage facilities that provide storage spaces for lease on a month-to-month basis, for personal and business use; Ancillary Operations, which reinsures policies against losses to goods stored by customers in the company's self-storage facilities and sells merchandise, mainly locks and cardboard boxes, at its self-storage facilities; and Investment in PS Business Parks Inc. (PSB), in which the company has an equity interest in PSB that owns, operates, acquires and develops commercial properties, mainly multi-tenant flex, office, and industrial parks.

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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