Insights: Copper Miners are Bottoming -- Add Exposure
Copper Miners are Bottoming -- Add ExposureThe weight of the evidence continues to point to global equities beginning a new leg higher as the global economy shows signs of troughing. Copper prices are also showing signs of bottoming and should continue to benefit from an improving global economy. Below we lay out what we believe is a compelling case to add exposure to copper miners at current levels.
• EM Equities, Global Interest Rates, Copper, Copper/Gold Ratio Bottoming. These are just a few indicators that point to a strengthening global economy, supported by easing US-China trade tensions and accommodative monetary policy. EM equities, interest rates, and copper prices are all highly correlated -- the fact that these are all moving higher together gives us added confidence in this call to add exposure to copper miners.
• Bullish price and RS reversals in the Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX-US) depicts this opportunity, however it is worth noting that the below individual names are leading the way.
• In today's report we highlight the following actionable names: Southern Copper (SCCO-US), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX-US), KAZ Minerals (KAZ-GB), and Aurubis (NDA-DE).
Norddeutsche Steingut is a Germany-based manufacturer and distributor of tiles, concentrating on wall and floor tiles for the residential and commercial sector. As of December 31, 2011, Co. was operational through its two wholly owned subsidiaries Nord Ceram Fliesenproduktions und -vertriebs GmbH & Co. KG, which mass produces standard- and large-size floor tiles under the Pro brand for its own sale and for partners of the parent company; as well as Bremer Wandplatten GmbH, which produces floor and wall tiles under the BW brand. Co.concentrates on business activities in Germany
Freeport-McMoRan is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a mining company. The company operates assets with proven and probable reserves of copper, gold and molybdenum, and the company is a publicly traded copper producer. The company's portfolio of assets includes the Grasberg minerals district in Indonesia, copper and gold deposits; and mining operations in North America and South America, including the Morenci minerals district in Arizona and the Cerro Verde operation in Peru. The company has organized its mining operations into four primary divisions: North America copper mines, South America mining, Indonesia mining and Molybdenum mines.
Kaz Minerals is a holding company. Co. and its subsidiaries operates in the natural resources industry through five divisions: Bozshakol, Aktogay and East Region, which are engaged in the mining and processing of copper and other metals in Kazakhstan; Bozymchak, which is engaged in the mining and processing of copper and gold in Kyrgyzstan; as well as Mining Projects, which is engaged in the development of metal deposits and processing facilities in Kazakhstan. Co. operates the Bozshakol and Aktogay open pit copper mines in Pavlodar and the East Region of Kazakhstan, three underground mines in the East Region of Kazakhstan and the Bozymchak copper-gold mine in Kyrgyzstan.
Southern Copper is a copper producer. The company's mining, smelting and refining facilities are located in Peru and Mexico and the company conducts exploration activities in those countries and in Argentina, Chile and Ecuador. The company's Peruvian copper operations involve mining, milling and flotation of copper ore to produce copper concentrates and molybdenum concentrates, the smelting of copper concentrates to produce blister and anode copper, and the refining of anode copper to produce copper cathodes. The company's Mexican operations are conducted through its subsidiary, Minera Mexico, S.A. de C.V., which engages primarily in the mining and processing of copper, molybdenum, zinc, silver, gold and lead.
Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.
Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.
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